Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 9/29/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Tuesday, September 29, 2020

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Blue Jays (+143) Rays (-155)

Tropicana Field is the site where Brandon Lowe and the Tampa Bay Rays (40-20, 1st in AL East) will play the Toronto Blue Jays (32-28, 3rd in AL East) on Tuesday in an AL Wild Card matchup. The Blue Jays open this matchup at +143 while the Rays are priced at -155. The over/under opens at 7. The men taking the mound are Hyun Jin Ryu and Blake Snell.

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

9/27/2020 Elvis Luciano RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
9/27/2020 Jacob Waguespack RP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 30
9/27/2020 Yennsy Diaz RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
9/27/2020 Rowdy Tellez 1B Knee Expected to be out until at least Oct 6
9/27/2020 Derek Fisher RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 30
9/27/2020 Ross Stripling RP Lower Leg Out for the season
9/24/2020 Jordan Romano RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 30
9/23/2020 Ken Giles RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2022
9/22/2020 Julian Merryweather RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Oct 1
8/27/2020 Trent Thornton SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

9/28/2020 Austin Meadows LF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Oct 15
9/27/2020 Brett Phillips RF Hamstring Out for the season
9/27/2020 Manuel Margot LF Foot Out for the season
9/26/2020 Ji-Man Choi 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 30
9/26/2020 Jose Alvarado RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 30
9/26/2020 Yandy Diaz 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 30
9/18/2020 Cody Reed RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Oct 19
8/29/2020 Chaz Roe RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021
8/29/2020 Jalen Beeks RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1, 2021
8/22/2020 Yonny Chirinos SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2022
8/13/2020 Andrew Kittredge RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2022
7/21/2020 Colin Poche RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1, 2021

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Blue Jays have a 32-28 overall record this season. Ryu has pitched in 807 innings and has accumulated 737 punchouts during his MLB career. His ERA is 2.96 (265 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.163. He has conceded 758 base knocks (8.5 hits per 9 innings) with 181 free passes. Ryu (59-35 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.35 while he has faced 3,301 batters during his time in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.71 and they have given up 256 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .215 against the bullpen and they've struck out 272 hitters and walked 144 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.6. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 517 base hits and 268 earned runs. They have allowed 81 home runs this season, ranking them 9th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 250 batters and struck out 519. They have walked 4.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 4.73.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Toronto is hitting .255, good for 12th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Randal Grichuk is hitting .273 with an on-base percentage of .312. He has 59 hits this season in 216 at bats with 35 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .481 and an OPS+ of 114. Cavan Biggio is hitting .250 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .375. He has totaled 55 hits and he has driven in 28 men in 220 at bats. His OPS+ is 122 while his slugging percentage is at .432. The Blue Jays have 516 hits, including 104 doubles and 88 home runs. Toronto has walked 203 times so far this season and they have struck out 508 times as a unit. They have left 392 men on base and have a team OPS of .766. They score 5.03 runs per contest and have scored a total of 302 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Tampa Bay has a 40-20 overall mark this year. Snell (42-30 career record) holds a 3.24 ERA while surrendering 7.4 hits per nine innings. His SO/W ratio is 2.79 and he has faced 2,292 opposing hitters in his MLB career. So far in his career, Snell has surrendered 456 hits while he has totaled 648 K's in 556 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 200 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.237 and having a FIP of 3.5. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.37 and they have given up 234 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .209 against the Rays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 263 batters and walked 87 opposing hitters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.56. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 475 base knocks and 209 earned runs this season. They have given up 70 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 168 hitters and struck out 552 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 3.94.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .238, good for 21st in the league. The Rays hold a .425 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Brandon Lowe comes into this matchup batting .269 with an OBP of .362. He has 52 hits this year along with 37 RBI in 193 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .554 with an OPS+ of 152. Willy Adames is hitting .259 this season and he has an OBP of .332. He has collected 48 hits in 185 at bats while driving in 23 runs. He has an OPS+ of 124 and a slugging percentage of .481. The Rays as a unit have 470 base hits, including 105 doubles and 80 homers. Tampa Bay has walked 243 times this year and they have struck out on 608 occasions. They have had 416 men left on base and have an OPS of .753. They have scored 4.82 runs per game and totaled 289 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Rays MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Blue Jays (+143)

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