Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/5/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, September 5, 2020

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN/RSN

Odds/Point Spread: Blue Jays (-117) Red Sox (+107)

J.D. Martinez and the Boston Red Sox (12-26, 5th in AL East) play the Toronto Blue Jays (20-16, 3rd in AL East) at Fenway Park on Saturday. The line on this game has the Blue Jays priced at -117 and the Red Sox are at +107. The O/U is set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Chase Anderson and Mike Kickham.

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

8/31/2020 Elvis Luciano RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/31/2020 Jordan Romano RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
8/30/2020 Matt Shoemaker SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
8/28/2020 Bo Bichette SS Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/27/2020 Trent Thornton SP Elbow Out for the season
8/26/2020 Yennsy Diaz RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
8/25/2020 Nate Pearson SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/24/2020 Ken Giles RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 7

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

9/4/2020 Nathan Eovaldi SP Calf Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/2/2020 Andrew Benintendi LF Ribs Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/2/2020 Darwinzon Hernandez RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/1/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
8/1/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Out for the season
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Blue Jays have a 20-16 overall record this season. Anderson (53-40 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 4.56 and he has gone up against 3,660 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.92 (382 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.261. He has surrendered 820 hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has 285 free passes. Anderson has taken the ball for 876 frames and has racked up 739 strikeouts during his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.02 and they have given up 131 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .188 against the bullpen and they've struck out 180 hitters and walked 81 batters. As a team, Toronto allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.55. The Blue Jays pitchers collectively have given up 278 base hits and 127 earned runs. They have allowed 38 home runs this season, ranking them 27th in the league. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 141 batters and struck out 330. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.00.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Toronto is hitting .245, good for 16th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr is hitting .259 with an on-base percentage of .333. He has 35 hits this season in 135 at bats with 17 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .444 and an OPS+ of 108. Travis Shaw is hitting .208 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .290. He has totaled 20 hits and he has driven in 8 men in 96 at bats. His OPS+ is 68 while his slugging percentage is at .333. The Blue Jays have 301 hits, including 58 doubles and 57 home runs. Toronto has walked 122 times so far this season and they have struck out 303 times as a unit. They have left 234 men on base and have a team OPS of .749. They score 4.67 runs per contest and have scored a total of 168 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 12-26 overall mark this year. So far in his career, Kickham has conceded 59 base hits while he has accumulated 30 strikeouts in 33 innings. He has allowed 40 ER's while earning a WHIP of 2.115 and a FIP of 6.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.73 and he has faced 174 hitters so far in his MLB career. Kickham (0-3 career mark) has a 10.88 ERA and has conceded 16.0 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.74 and they have given up 203 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 200 batters and walked 82 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 10.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 6.13. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 385 base knocks and 227 earned runs this season. They have given up 67 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 157 hitters and struck out 325 batters. They give up a walk 4.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.63 while their FIP as a staff is 5.38.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .254, good for 11th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. J.D. Martinez comes into this matchup batting .233 with an OBP of .315. He has 30 hits this year along with 17 RBI in 129 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .403 with an OPS+ of 91. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .288 this season and he has an OBP of .349. He has collected 38 hits in 132 at bats while driving in 23 runs. He has an OPS+ of 132 and a slugging percentage of .530. The Red Sox as a unit have 334 base hits, including 79 doubles and 45 homers. Boston has walked 110 times this year and they have struck out on 346 occasions. They have had 255 men left on base and have an OPS of .744. They have scored 4.53 runs per game and totaled 172 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Blue Jays/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox (+107)

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