Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/23/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, September 23, 2020

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SUN/SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Rays (-128) Mets (+118)

Manuel Margot and the Tampa Bay Rays (36-19, 1st in AL East) go to Citi Field on Wednesday where they'll meet the New York Mets (24-30, 4th in NL East). The Mets open this matchup at +118 while the Rays are priced at -128. The over/under opens at 9. The starting pitchers are Tyler Glasnow and Michael Wacha.

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

9/21/2020 Mike Brosseau 1B Undisclosed Probable for Sep 22
9/20/2020 Austin Meadows LF Oblique Out for the season
9/19/2020 Yandy Diaz 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/18/2020 Cody Reed RP Finger Out for the season
9/13/2020 Ji-Man Choi 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/4/2020 Jose Alvarado RP Shoulder Out for the season
8/29/2020 Chaz Roe RP Elbow Out for the season
8/29/2020 Jalen Beeks RP Elbow Out for the season
8/22/2020 Yonny Chirinos SP Elbow Out for the season
8/13/2020 Andrew Kittredge RP Elbow Out for the season
7/21/2020 Colin Poche RP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/22/2020 Jake Marisnick CF Hamstring Out for the season
9/22/2020 Michael Conforto RF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/21/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/21/2020 Tomas Nido C Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/21/2020 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/17/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Out for the season
9/9/2020 Robert Gsellman SP Ribs Out for the season
8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rays have a 36-19 overall record this season. Glasnow has taken the hill for 309 frames and is sitting with 375 punchouts so far in his career. His earned run average is 4.46 (153 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.350. He has surrendered 272 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) with 145 walks. Glasnow (14-18 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 4.08 while he has gone up against 1,324 opposing hitters in the majors. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.40 and they have given up 216 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the bullpen and they've struck out 243 hitters and walked 83 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.61. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 434 base hits and 194 earned runs. They have allowed 63 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 158 batters and struck out 502. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.22 and their FIP as a unit is 3.96.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .237, good for 20th in the league. The Rays hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Manuel Margot is hitting .261 with an on-base percentage of .322. He has 36 hits this season in 138 at bats with 11 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .341 and an OPS+ of 87. Brandon Lowe is hitting .271 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .364. He has totaled 48 hits and he has driven in 33 men in 177 at bats. His OPS+ is 155 while his slugging percentage is at .565. The Rays have 429 hits, including 100 doubles and 74 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 227 times so far this season and they have struck out 553 times as a unit. They have left 385 men on base and have a team OPS of .754. They score 4.8 runs per contest and have scored a total of 264 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 24-30 overall mark this year. Wacha (60-42 career record) is the owner of a 4.00 earned run average while giving up 8.9 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.57 and he has faced 3,826 hitters during his pro baseball career. During his MLB career, Wacha has surrendered 889 base hits while he has earned 792 strikeouts in 895 frames. He has given up a total of 398 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.337 and a FIP of 4.0. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 192 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .200 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 236 batters and walked 116 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.84. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 462 base knocks and 251 earned runs this season. They have given up 71 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 196 hitters and struck out 519 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.37.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .273, good for 1st in the league. The Mets hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .351, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.2 hits per contest. J.D. Davis comes into this matchup batting .254 with an OBP of .376. He has 45 hits this year along with 19 RBI in 177 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .401 with an OPS+ of 117. Michael Conforto is hitting .328 this season and he has an OBP of .419. He has collected 65 hits in 198 at bats while driving in 31 runs. He has an OPS+ of 161 and a slugging percentage of .525. The Mets as a unit have 499 base hits, including 96 doubles and 73 homers. New York has walked 182 times this year and they have struck out on 445 occasions. They have had 406 men left on base and have an OPS of .803. They have scored 4.85 runs per game and totaled 262 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rays/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Rays (-128)

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