Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/22/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, September 22, 2020

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SUN/SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Rays (-115) Mets (+105)

Citi Field is the site where Michael Conforto and the New York Mets (24-29, 4th in NL East) will play the Tampa Bay Rays (35-19, 1st in AL East) on Tuesday. The Mets open this contest at +105 while the Rays are priced at -115. The total is set at 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Blake Snell and Seth Lugo.

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

9/20/2020 Austin Meadows LF Oblique Out for the season
9/20/2020 Mike Brosseau 1B Undisclosed Probable for Sep 21
9/19/2020 Yandy Diaz 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/18/2020 Cody Reed RP Finger Out for the season
9/13/2020 Ji-Man Choi 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/4/2020 Jose Alvarado RP Shoulder Out for the season
8/29/2020 Jalen Beeks RP Elbow Out for the season
8/29/2020 Chaz Roe RP Elbow Out for the season
8/22/2020 Yonny Chirinos SP Elbow Out for the season
8/13/2020 Andrew Kittredge RP Elbow Out for the season
7/21/2020 Colin Poche RP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/21/2020 Tomas Nido C Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/21/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/20/2020 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/17/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Out for the season
9/9/2020 Robert Gsellman SP Ribs Out for the season
8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rays have a 35-19 overall record this season. Snell has taken the mound for 550 innings and has totaled 639 strikeouts so far in his career. His ERA is 3.22 (197 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.234. He has given up 450 base knocks (7.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 229 walks. Snell (42-29 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.51 while he has gone up against 2,269 hitters during his time in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.46 and they have given up 212 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .210 against the bullpen and they've struck out 237 hitters and walked 81 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.66. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 430 base hits and 193 earned runs. They have allowed 63 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 155 batters and struck out 494. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 3.97.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .238, good for 19th in the league. The Rays hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Brandon Lowe is hitting .272 with an on-base percentage of .366. He has 47 hits this season in 173 at bats with 33 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .566 and an OPS+ of 156. Manuel Margot is hitting .267 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .331. He has totaled 36 hits and he has driven in 10 men in 135 at bats. His OPS+ is 91 while his slugging percentage is at .348. The Rays have 424 hits, including 98 doubles and 73 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 223 times so far this season and they have struck out 537 times as a unit. They have left 379 men on base and have a team OPS of .757. They score 4.85 runs per contest and have scored a total of 262 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 24-29 overall mark this year. Lugo (24-18 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.36 earned run average while allowing 7.9 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.88 and he has gone up against 1,544 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. In his MLB career, Lugo has conceded 331 base hits and he has 376 punchouts in 375 innings. He has conceded 140 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.141 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.40 and they have given up 191 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .201 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 234 batters and walked 114 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.9. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 457 base knocks and 249 earned runs this season. They have given up 70 home runs this year, which ranks 14th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 192 hitters and struck out 503 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.41.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .275, good for 1st in the league. The Mets hold a .458 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .353, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Michael Conforto comes into this matchup batting .328 with an OBP of .419. He has 65 hits this year along with 31 RBI in 198 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .525 with an OPS+ of 160. J.D. Davis is hitting .259 this season and he has an OBP of .378. He has collected 45 hits in 174 at bats while driving in 19 runs. He has an OPS+ of 119 and a slugging percentage of .408. The Mets as a unit have 495 base hits, including 96 doubles and 73 homers. New York has walked 179 times this year and they have struck out on 437 occasions. They have had 400 men left on base and have an OPS of .811. They have scored 4.92 runs per game and totaled 261 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rays/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Rays (-115)

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