Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 8/30/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins

Date: Sunday, August 30, 2020

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: FSFL/SUN

Odds/Point Spread: Rays (-114) Marlins (+104)

Marlins Park is the venue where Jonathan Villar and the Miami Marlins (14-13, 2nd in NL East) will play the Tampa Bay Rays (22-11, 1st in AL East) on Sunday. The odds on this matchup have the Rays priced at -114 and the Marlins are at +104. The over/under has been set at 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Blake Snell and Pablo Lopez.

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

8/29/2020 Mike Zunino C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/29/2020 Jalen Beeks RP Elbow Out for the season
8/29/2020 Chaz Roe RP Elbow Out for the season
8/29/2020 Ryan Yarbrough SP Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/28/2020 Oliver Drake RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/28/2020 Brett Phillips CF Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 31
8/28/2020 Nick Anderson RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/24/2020 Charlie Morton SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/22/2020 Yonny Chirinos SP Elbow Out for the season
8/19/2020 Jose Alvarado RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 31
8/13/2020 Andrew Kittredge RP Elbow Out for the season
7/21/2020 Colin Poche RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

8/28/2020 Jeff Brigham RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/28/2020 Brian Moran RP Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/28/2020 Adam Conley RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/28/2020 Ryne Stanek RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/28/2020 Sean Rodriguez 3B Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/28/2020 Logan Forsythe 2B Oblique Out for the season
8/26/2020 Magneuris Sierra CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/25/2020 Caleb Smith SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/24/2020 Harold Ramirez RF Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/24/2020 Sandy Alcantara SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
8/24/2020 Stephen Tarpley RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 16

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rays have a 22-11 overall record this season. Snell (40-28 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.48 while going up against 2,185 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.23 (190 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.236. He has conceded 433 base hits (7.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 221 free passes. Snell has taken the hill for 529 innings and has tallied 617 strikeouts in his MLB career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.69 and they have given up 143 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .220 against the bullpen and they've struck out 157 hitters and walked 54 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.73. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 275 base hits and 121 earned runs. They have allowed 40 home runs this season, ranking them 13th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 100 batters and struck out 306. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.03.

Related: How to Bet Parlays

Hitting Statistics

As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .245, good for 15th in the league. The Rays hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Yandy Díaz is hitting .295 with an on-base percentage of .422. He has 31 hits this season in 105 at bats with 10 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .381 and an OPS+ of 127. Ji-Man Choi is hitting .198 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .294. He has totaled 17 hits and he has driven in 10 men in 86 at bats. His OPS+ is 81 while his slugging percentage is at .360. The Rays have 266 hits, including 64 doubles and 41 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 144 times so far this season and they have struck out 313 times as a unit. They have left 224 men on base and have a team OPS of .768. They score 5.06 runs per contest and have scored a total of 167 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 14-13 overall mark this year. In his pro baseball career, Lopez has allowed 194 base hits while he has earned 168 strikeouts in 197 innings. He has given up 96 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.248 and a FIP of 4.1. His SO/W ratio is 3.23 and he has gone up against 831 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. Lopez (10-13 career record) holds a 4.38 earned run average while surrendering 8.9 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.81 and they have given up 104 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 84 batters and walked 58 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 219 base knocks and 106 earned runs this season. They have given up 40 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 104 hitters and struck out 205 batters. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 5.21.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .241, good for 20th in the league. The Marlins hold a .364 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 7.7 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .264 with an OBP of .325. He has 28 hits this year along with 9 RBI in 106 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .358 with an OPS+ of 89. Miguel Rojas is hitting .333 this season and he has an OBP of .421. He has collected 11 hits in 33 at bats while driving in 11 runs. He has an OPS+ of 179 and a slugging percentage of .606. The Marlins as a unit have 209 base hits, including 34 doubles and 22 homers. Miami has walked 89 times this year and they have struck out on 248 occasions. They have had 175 men left on base and have an OPS of .682. They have scored 4.3 runs per game and totaled 116 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rays/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Marlins (+104) and over 9.5 runs

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