Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 8/10/2020

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Monday, August 10, 2020

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN/SUN

Odds/Point Spread: Rays (+117) Red Sox (-127)

Fenway Park is the venue where Xander Bogaerts and the Boston Red Sox (5-9, 5th in AL East) will take on the Tampa Bay Rays (7-8, 3rd in AL East) on Monday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Rays coming in at +117 and the Red Sox are at -127. The O/U has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Ryan Yarbrough and Austin Brice.

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

8/9/2020 Oliver Drake RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 19
8/9/2020 Charlie Morton SP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
8/6/2020 Yonny Chirinos SP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
8/5/2020 Randy Arozarena CF Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
7/21/2020 Colin Poche RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

8/8/2020 Josh Taylor RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
8/1/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Out for the season
7/28/2020 Darwinzon Hernandez RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/7/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rays have a 7-8 overall record this season. Yarbrough has taken the hill for 305 innings and has totaled 257 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.01 (136 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.147. He has conceded 275 base hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 75 free passes. Yarbrough (27-14 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.95 while he has faced 1,263 batters during his time in the majors. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.56 and they have given up 68 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the bullpen and they've struck out 78 hitters and walked 26 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.2 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.75. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 126 base hits and 54 earned runs. They have allowed 17 home runs this season, ranking them 13th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 49 batters and struck out 147. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 3.68.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .205, good for 27th in the league. The Rays hold a .353 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 6.3 hits per game. Brandon Lowe is hitting .271 with an on-base percentage of .340. He has 13 hits this season in 48 at bats with 9 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .542 and an OPS+ of 149. Joey Wendle is hitting .286 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .359. He has totaled 10 hits and he has driven in 2 men in 35 at bats. His OPS+ is 134 while his slugging percentage is at .457. The Rays have 95 hits, including 26 doubles and 11 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 62 times so far this season and they have struck out 141 times as a unit. They have left 91 men on base and have a team OPS of .657. They score 4.07 runs per contest and have scored a total of 61 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Brice (3-4 record in his career) holds a 4.89 earned run average and has surrendered 8.1 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.70 and he has gone up against 589 batters in his pro baseball career. So far in his career, Brice has surrendered 123 base hits while tallying 127 strikeouts in 136 innings. He has conceded 74 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.249 and a FIP of 5.2. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.28 and they have given up 63 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .217 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 71 batters and walked 29 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.87. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 123 base knocks and 66 earned runs this season. They have given up 18 home runs this year, which ranks 9th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 59 hitters and struck out 110 batters. They give up a walk 4.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.49 while their FIP as a staff is 4.78.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .243, good for 9th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .412 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .341 with an OBP of .431. He has 15 hits this year along with 9 RBI in 44 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .614 with an OPS+ of 187. Kevin Pillar is hitting .317 this season and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 13 hits in 41 at bats while driving in 5 runs. He has an OPS+ of 125 and a slugging percentage of .488. The Red Sox as a unit have 116 base hits, including 27 doubles and 18 homers. Boston has walked 41 times this year and they have struck out on 126 occasions. They have had 96 men left on base and have an OPS of .723. They have scored 4.14 runs per game and totaled 58 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rays/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Rays (+117)

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