Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 7/31/2020

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Friday, July 31, 2020

Location: Oriole Park in Baltimore, MD

TV: MAS2/SUN

Odds/Point Spread: Rays (-222) Orioles (+190)

Kevin Kiermaier and the Tampa Bay Rays (4-2, 2nd in AL East) head to Oriole Park on Friday where they'll take on the Baltimore Orioles (2-2, 3rd in AL East). The Rays open this contest at -222 while the Orioles are priced at +190. The over/under has been set at 9.5. The starting pitchers are Blake Snell and Tommy Milone.

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

7/29/2020 Ji-Man Choi 1B Shoulder Probable for Jul 30
7/29/2020 Austin Meadows RF Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/23/2020 Randy Arozarena CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/21/2020 Colin Poche RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

7/30/2020 John Means SP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/29/2020 Jose Iglesias SS Quadriceps Probable for Jul 30
7/29/2020 Chris Davis 1B Undisclosed Probable for Jul 30
7/23/2020 Hunter Harvey RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/23/2020 Dillon Tate RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/14/2020 Richie Martin SS Wrist Out for the season
6/28/2020 Trey Mancini RF Abdomen Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rays have a 4-2 overall record this season. Snell (38-28 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 3.44 while facing 2,100 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.22 (182 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.246. He has given up 417 base hits (7.4 hits per 9 innings) with 216 walks. Snell has taken the mound for 508 innings and is sitting with 590 strikeouts in his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.64 and they have given up 27 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .211 against the bullpen and they've struck out 38 hitters and walked 10 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 11.3 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.5. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 52 base hits and 21 earned runs. They have allowed 5 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 19 batters and struck out 68. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 11.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 2.88.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .227, good for 16th in the league. The Rays hold a .418 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 7.3 hits per game. Kevin Kiermaier is hitting .190 with an on-base percentage of .227. He has 4 hits this season in 21 at bats with 4 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .286 and an OPS+ of 47. Hunter Renfroe is hitting .211 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .250. He has totaled 4 hits and he has driven in 6 men in 19 at bats. His OPS+ is 115 while his slugging percentage is at .526. The Rays have 44 hits, including 10 doubles and 7 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 31 times so far this season and they have struck out 52 times as a unit. They have left 37 men on base and have a team OPS of .757. They score 6.17 runs per contest and have scored a total of 37 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milone (50-48 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 4.49 earned run average while allowing 9.7 hits per 9 innings. He has a SO/W ratio of 3.04 and he has gone up against 3,748 opposing batters so far in his career. During his career, Milone has surrendered 943 base knocks while tallying 653 strikeouts in 877 innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 438 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.320 and a FIP of 4.7. The bullpen has an earned run average of 7.88 and they have given up 25 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .309 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 16 batters and walked 7 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 10.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 6.94. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 41 base knocks and 27 earned runs this season. They have given up 6 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 12 hitters and struck out 38 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.51 while their FIP as a staff is 4.42.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .233, good for 14th in the league. The Orioles hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Renato Nunez comes into this matchup batting .250 with an OBP of .294. He has 4 hits this year along with 3 RBI in 16 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .438 with an OPS+ of 105. Anthony Santander is hitting .200 this season and he has an OBP of .250. He has collected 3 hits in 15 at bats while driving in 4 runs. He has an OPS+ of 114 and a slugging percentage of .533. The Orioles as a unit have 31 base hits, including 12 doubles and 4 homers. Baltimore has walked 15 times this year and they have struck out on 27 occasions. They have had 25 men left on base and have an OPS of .731. They have scored 4.75 runs per game and totaled 19 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rays/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Rays (-222)

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