St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/2/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Wednesday, September 2, 2020

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FSOH/FSMW

Odds/Point Spread: Cardinals (+109) Reds (-119)

Great American Ball Park is the site where Nicholas Castellanos and the Cincinnati Reds (15-20, 4th in NL Central) will take on the St. Louis Cardinals (13-13, 2nd in NL Central) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has the Cardinals priced at +109 and the Reds are at -119. The total is set at 9.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Johan Oviedo and Tyler Mahle.

Key St. Louis Cardinals Injuries

9/1/2020 Genesis Cabrera RP Finger Probable for Sep 1
9/1/2020 Rangel Ravelo DH Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/31/2020 Ricardo Sanchez RP Elbow Out for the season
8/31/2020 Ryan Helsley RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/30/2020 Matt Wieters C Toe Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/27/2020 Andrew Miller RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/26/2020 Carlos Martinez SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
8/26/2020 Kodi Whitley RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/26/2020 Austin Dean LF Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
8/11/2020 Miles Mikolas SP Forearm Out for the season
6/28/2020 John Brebbia RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

8/31/2020 Wade Miley SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
8/29/2020 Jesse Biddle RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
8/28/2020 Nick Senzel CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/24/2020 Matt Bowman RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 6

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Cardinals have a 13-13 overall record this season. Oviedo (0-1 record) has earned a FIP of 3.40 while he has gone up against 39 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.60 (4 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.000. He has surrendered 6 base hits (5.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 4 free passes. Oviedo has thrown 10 innings and has earned 5 strikeouts. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.13 and they have given up 71 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .181 against the bullpen and they've struck out 95 hitters and walked 44 batters. As a team, St. Louis allows 6.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.59. The Cardinals pitchers collectively have given up 154 base hits and 87 earned runs. They have allowed 30 home runs this season, ranking them 30th in the league. St. Louis as a pitching staff has walked 89 batters and struck out 196. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.12 and their FIP as a unit is 4.50.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team St. Louis is hitting .239, good for 18th in the league. The Cardinals hold a .372 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 7.3 hits per game. Paul DeJong is hitting .321 with an on-base percentage of .362. He has 17 hits this season in 53 at bats with 12 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .509 and an OPS+ of 136. Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .349 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .486. He has totaled 29 hits and he has driven in 11 men in 83 at bats. His OPS+ is 180 while his slugging percentage is at .530. The Cardinals have 190 hits, including 35 doubles and 21 home runs. St. Louis has walked 102 times so far this season and they have struck out 195 times as a unit. They have left 172 men on base and have a team OPS of .710. They score 4.12 runs per contest and have scored a total of 107 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Mahle (12-24 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 4.80 ERA while giving up 9.4 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.64 and he has faced 1,252 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. In his MLB career, Mahle has surrendered 296 hits while tallying 285 strikeouts in 285 innings. He has given up a total of 152 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.418 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.8. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.22 and they have given up 84 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .172 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 146 batters and walked 60 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7 hits per nine innings while striking out 11.4 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 227 base knocks and 135 earned runs this season. They have given up 46 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 132 hitters and struck out 367 batters. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 11.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 4.22.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .216, good for 28th in the league. The Reds hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 6.7 hits per contest. Nicholas Castellanos comes into this matchup batting .254 with an OBP of .340. He has 32 hits this year along with 24 RBI in 126 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .571 with an OPS+ of 135. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .185 this season and he has an OBP of .302. He has collected 22 hits in 119 at bats while driving in 19 runs. He has an OPS+ of 86 and a slugging percentage of .412. The Reds as a unit have 233 base hits, including 44 doubles and 54 homers. Cincinnati has walked 134 times this year and they have struck out on 292 occasions. They have had 217 men left on base and have an OPS of .724. They have scored 4 runs per game and totaled 140 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Cardinals/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Reds (-119)

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