San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Prediction, 9/27/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants

Date: Sunday, September 27, 2020

Location: Oracle Park in San Francisco, CA

TV: NSBA/FSSD

Odds/Point Spread: Padres (-170) Giants (+157)

Evan Longoria and the San Francisco Giants (29-29, 3rd in NL West) play the San Diego Padres (35-23, 2nd in NL West) at Oracle Park on Sunday. The Giants open this game at +157 while the Padres are priced at -170. The O/U is set at 9.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Luis Patino and Drew Smyly.

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

9/26/2020 Dinelson Lamet SP Biceps Out for the season
9/26/2020 Wil Myers RF Quadriceps Probable for Sep 26
9/26/2020 Luis Campusano DH Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/25/2020 Mike Clevinger SP Elbow Out for the season
9/23/2020 Breyvic Valera 2B Undisclosed Out for the season
9/23/2020 Jose Castillo RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/23/2020 Javy Guerra RP Personal Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/22/2020 Kirby Yates RP Elbow Out for the season
8/1/2020 Trey Wingenter RP Elbow Out for the season
7/27/2020 Anderson Espinoza SP Elbow Out for the season

Key San Francisco Giants Injuries

9/26/2020 Aramis Garcia C Hip Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/26/2020 Trevor Gott RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/23/2020 Reyes Moronta RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/23/2020 Luis Alexander Basabe RF Hamstring Out for the season
9/22/2020 Chadwick Tromp C Shoulder Out for the season
8/31/2020 Joey Rickard RF Elbow Out for the season
6/29/2020 Tyler Beede SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Padres have a 35-23 overall record this season. Patino has taken the hill for 16 frames and has earned 19 punchouts. His ERA is 5.59 (10 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.925. He has surrendered 18 base knocks (10.1 hits per nine innings) and has 13 free passes. Patino (0-0 win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 5.87 while facing 81 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.42 and they have given up 204 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .215 against the bullpen and they've struck out 244 hitters and walked 86 batters. As a team, San Diego allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.89. The Padres pitchers collectively have given up 443 base hits and 217 earned runs. They have allowed 67 home runs this season, ranking them 22nd in the league. San Diego as a pitching staff has walked 164 batters and struck out 541. They have walked 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 3.86.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team San Diego is hitting .257, good for 12th in the league. The Padres hold a .466 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Manny Machado is hitting .306 with an on-base percentage of .373. He has 67 hits this season in 219 at bats with 47 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .589 and an OPS+ of 161. Mitch Moreland is hitting .248 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .326. He has totaled 32 hits and he has driven in 26 men in 129 at bats. His OPS+ is 126 while his slugging percentage is at .519. The Padres have 489 hits, including 99 doubles and 91 home runs. San Diego has walked 200 times so far this season and they have struck out 457 times as a unit. They have left 351 men on base and have a team OPS of .800. They score 5.41 runs per contest and have scored a total of 314 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

So far in his MLB career, Smyly has conceded 666 base hits while totaling 704 punchouts in 705 frames. He has given up a total of 324 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.262 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.14 and he has faced 2,955 opposing hitters during his career. Smyly (35-34 record in his career) has earned a 4.13 earned run average and has allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.24 and they have given up 200 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .201 against the Giants bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 206 batters and walked 102 opposing hitters. As a team, San Francisco allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.67. The Giants pitchers as a team have surrendered 457 base knocks and 259 earned runs this season. They have given up 65 home runs this year, which ranks 27th in Major League Baseball. San Francisco as a staff has walked 206 hitters and struck out 466 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.44.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .266, good for 3rd in the league. The Giants hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Evan Longoria comes into this matchup batting .259 with an OBP of .303. He has 48 hits this year along with 28 RBI in 185 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .438 with an OPS+ of 102. Brandon Belt is hitting .310 this season and he has an OBP of .427. He has collected 44 hits in 142 at bats while driving in 29 runs. He has an OPS+ of 180 and a slugging percentage of .599. The Giants as a unit have 519 base hits, including 106 doubles and 78 homers. San Francisco has walked 189 times this year and they have struck out on 475 occasions. They have had 391 men left on base and have an OPS of .790. They have scored 5.05 runs per game and totaled 293 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Padres/Giants MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Padres (-170)

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