Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 8/30/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Sunday, August 30, 2020

Location: Miller Park in Milwaukee, WI

TV: ATPT/FSWI

Odds/Point Spread: Pirates (+208) Brewers (-230)

Orlando Arcia and the Milwaukee Brewers (14-17, 4th in NL Central) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (9-20, 5th in NL Central) at Miller Park on Sunday. The Pirates open this matchup at +208 while the Brewers are priced at -230. The O/U is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Steven Brault and Brandon Woodruff.

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

8/28/2020 Keone Kela RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
8/28/2020 Kyle Crick RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/27/2020 Colin Moran DH Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
8/26/2020 Joe Musgrove SP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
8/25/2020 Yacksel Rios RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
8/19/2020 Phillip Evans 3B Jaw Out for the season
8/19/2020 Mitch Keller SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/11/2020 Clay Holmes RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
8/6/2020 Nick Burdi RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

8/28/2020 Manny Pina C Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
8/20/2020 Corey Knebel RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
8/13/2020 Ray Black RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 4

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Pirates have a 9-20 overall record this season. Brault (11-13 career record) has a FIP of 4.80 while he has gone up against 1,310 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.88 (156 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.563. He has allowed 298 base hits (9.3 hits per 9 innings) with 152 free passes. Brault has thrown 288 innings and has earned 243 punchouts in his pro baseball career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.18 and they have given up 117 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .209 against the bullpen and they've struck out 139 hitters and walked 67 batters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 5.16. The Pirates pitchers collectively have given up 237 base hits and 146 earned runs. They have allowed 43 home runs this season, ranking them 9th in the league. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 129 batters and struck out 249. They have walked 4.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 5.14.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Pittsburgh is hitting .216, good for 28th in the league. The Pirates hold a .334 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .272, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 7.2 hits per game. Adam Frazier is hitting .191 with an on-base percentage of .226. He has 21 hits this season in 110 at bats with 10 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .318 and an OPS+ of 47. Kevin Newman is hitting .259 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .300. He has totaled 22 hits and he has driven in 6 men in 85 at bats. His OPS+ is 73 while his slugging percentage is at .329. The Pirates have 208 hits, including 31 doubles and 26 home runs. Pittsburgh has walked 71 times so far this season and they have struck out 259 times as a unit. They have left 154 men on base and have a team OPS of .606. They score 3.86 runs per contest and have scored a total of 112 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 14-17 overall mark this year. In his career, Woodruff has allowed 221 hits while he has tallied 263 strikeouts in 243 innings. He has given up a total of 102 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.184 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.3. His SO/W ratio is 3.93 and he has faced 1,003 hitters in his MLB career. Woodruff (18-8 record in his career) holds a 3.77 ERA while surrendering 8.2 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.19 and they have given up 103 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .193 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 169 batters and walked 54 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.6 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.46. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 250 base knocks and 135 earned runs this season. They have given up 41 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 107 hitters and struck out 322 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.17.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .212, good for 30th in the league. The Brewers hold a .373 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 6.9 hits per contest. Orlando Arcia comes into this matchup batting .253 with an OBP of .341. He has 19 hits this year along with 9 RBI in 75 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .347 with an OPS+ of 87. Christian Yelich is hitting .190 this season and he has an OBP of .320. He has collected 20 hits in 105 at bats while driving in 15 runs. He has an OPS+ of 105 and a slugging percentage of .448. The Brewers as a unit have 215 base hits, including 42 doubles and 38 homers. Milwaukee has walked 104 times this year and they have struck out on 302 occasions. They have had 192 men left on base and have an OPS of .670. They have scored 3.9 runs per game and totaled 121 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Pirates/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Pirates (+208)

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