Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 8/13/2020

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Thursday, August 13, 2020

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: ATPT/FSOH

Odds/Point Spread: Pirates (+161) Reds (-175)

Joey Votto and the Cincinnati Reds (8-9, 2nd in NL Central) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (3-13, 5th in NL Central) at Great American Ball Park on Thursday. The Reds open this game at -175 while the Pirates are priced at +161. The O/U opens at 9.5. The men taking the mound will be Trevor Williams and Anthony DeSclafani.

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

8/12/2020 Gregory Polanco RF Ribs Probable for Aug 12
8/12/2020 Kyle Crick RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 14
8/11/2020 Clay Holmes RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
8/11/2020 Joe Musgrove SP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
8/11/2020 Mitch Keller SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
 

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

8/12/2020 Robert Stephenson RP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
8/11/2020 Pedro Strop RP Groin Expected to be out until at least Aug 18
8/9/2020 Mike Moustakas 2B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
8/9/2020 Wade Miley SP Groin Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
7/31/2020 Matt Bowman RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 4

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Pirates have a 3-13 overall record this season. Williams has taken the mound for 495 innings and is sitting with 381 K's in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.20 (231 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.303. He has conceded 484 hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) with 161 free passes. Williams (29-32 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.40 and he has faced 2,104 batters in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.47 and they have given up 77 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the bullpen and they've struck out 83 hitters and walked 46 batters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.32. The Pirates pitchers collectively have given up 136 base hits and 85 earned runs. They have allowed 21 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 77 batters and struck out 148. They have walked 4.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.48 and their FIP as a unit is 4.73.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Pittsburgh is hitting .209, good for 28th in the league. The Pirates hold a .328 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .273, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 7.0 hits per game. Josh Bell is hitting .213 with an on-base percentage of .246. He has 13 hits this season in 61 at bats with 5 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .328 and an OPS+ of 60. Colin Moran is hitting .226 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .305. He has totaled 12 hits and he has driven in 7 men in 53 at bats. His OPS+ is 128 while his slugging percentage is at .528. The Pirates have 112 hits, including 17 doubles and 15 home runs. Pittsburgh has walked 46 times so far this season and they have struck out 133 times as a unit. They have left 83 men on base and have a team OPS of .601. They score 4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 64 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

DeSclafani (10-9 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.66 ERA and has given up 7.9 hits per 9 innings. He has a SO/W ratio of 3.50 and he has gone up against 734 hitters in his pro baseball career. So far in his career, DeSclafani has surrendered 156 base knocks while earning 175 K's in 177 innings. He has conceded a total of 72 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.163 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 7.52 and they have given up 51 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .206 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 73 batters and walked 30 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 12.1 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.13. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 115 base knocks and 67 earned runs this season. They have given up 20 home runs this year, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 60 hitters and struck out 196 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 12.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.20 while their FIP as a staff is 3.63.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .208, good for 29th in the league. The Reds hold a .394 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 6.5 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .220 with an OBP of .361. He has 11 hits this year along with 8 RBI in 50 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .420 with an OPS+ of 113. Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .290 this season and he has an OBP of .380. He has collected 18 hits in 62 at bats while driving in 16 runs. He has an OPS+ of 192 and a slugging percentage of .726. The Reds as a unit have 111 base hits, including 23 doubles and 24 homers. Cincinnati has walked 72 times this year and they have struck out on 142 occasions. They have had 109 men left on base and have an OPS of .711. They have scored 4.29 runs per game and totaled 73 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Pirates/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Pirates (+161)

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