Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/16/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Wednesday, September 16, 2020

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: ATPT/FSOH

Odds/Point Spread: Pirates (+224) Reds (-250)

Eugenio Suarez and the Cincinnati Reds (23-26, 3rd in NL Central) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (14-32, 5th in NL Central) at Great American Ball Park on Wednesday. The Pirates open this game at +224 while the Reds are priced at -250. The O/U has been set at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be JT Brubaker and Luis Castillo.

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

9/14/2020 Chad Kuhl SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 19
9/14/2020 Kyle Crick RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/13/2020 Keone Kela RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/11/2020 Tyler Bashlor RP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/9/2020 Yacksel Rios RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/6/2020 Anthony Alford CF Elbow Out for the season
8/19/2020 Phillip Evans 3B Jaw Out for the season
8/11/2020 Clay Holmes RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
8/6/2020 Michael Feliz RP Forearm Out for the season
8/6/2020 Nick Burdi RP Elbow Out for the season
7/23/2020 Luke Maile C Finger Out for the season
6/30/2020 Chris Archer SP Shoulder Out for the season
6/30/2020 Kevin Kramer RF Hip Out for the season
2/13/2020 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

9/15/2020 Leon Jose De Leon RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/14/2020 Matt Bowman RP Elbow Out for the season
9/14/2020 Jesse Winker DH Back Probable for Sep 15
9/14/2020 Sonny Gray SP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/14/2020 Tyler Thornburg RP Elbow Out for the season
9/11/2020 Jesse Biddle RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/10/2020 Wade Miley SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 18

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Pirates have a 14-32 overall record this season. Brubaker has taken the ball for 30 innings and has tallied 32 punchouts. His ERA is 5.38 (18 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.495. He has given up 32 base knocks (9.6 hits per 9 innings) with 13 free passes. Brubaker (1-1 record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.20 while going up against 136 opposing hitters in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.58 and they have given up 178 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .204 against the bullpen and they've struck out 222 hitters and walked 103 batters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 5.19. The Pirates pitchers collectively have given up 376 base hits and 228 earned runs. They have allowed 71 home runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 206 batters and struck out 412. They have walked 4.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 5.21.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Pittsburgh is hitting .222, good for 27th in the league. The Pirates hold a .351 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .285, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 7.3 hits per game. Bryan Reynolds is hitting .179 with an on-base percentage of .281. He has 25 hits this season in 140 at bats with 13 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .329 and an OPS+ of 66. Josh Bell is hitting .242 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .311. He has totaled 38 hits and he has driven in 18 men in 157 at bats. His OPS+ is 91 while his slugging percentage is at .395. The Pirates have 334 hits, including 57 doubles and 42 home runs. Pittsburgh has walked 128 times so far this season and they have struck out 402 times as a unit. They have left 272 men on base and have a team OPS of .636. They score 3.74 runs per contest and have scored a total of 172 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 23-26 overall mark this year. So far in his MLB career, Castillo has given up 410 hits while he has earned 555 punchouts in 501 innings pitched. He has allowed 204 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.177 and a FIP of 3.8. His SO/W ratio is 3.08 and he has faced 2,072 batters thus far in his career. Castillo (30-32 record in his career) holds a 3.66 ERA and has allowed 7.4 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.96 and they have given up 127 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .188 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 191 batters and walked 81 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 11 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.2. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 337 base knocks and 189 earned runs this season. They have given up 58 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 184 hitters and struck out 494 batters. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 11 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.17.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .213, good for 30th in the league. The Reds hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 6.5 hits per contest. Eugenio Suarez comes into this matchup batting .206 with an OBP of .313. He has 34 hits this year along with 30 RBI in 165 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .485 with an OPS+ of 104. Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .222 this season and he has an OBP of .303. He has collected 39 hits in 176 at bats while driving in 29 runs. He has an OPS+ of 104 and a slugging percentage of .494. The Reds as a unit have 318 base hits, including 60 doubles and 74 homers. Cincinnati has walked 198 times this year and they have struck out on 423 occasions. They have had 303 men left on base and have an OPS of .720. They have scored 3.98 runs per game and totaled 195 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Pirates/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Pirates (+224)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here