Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/15/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Tuesday, September 15, 2020

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: ATPT/FSOH

Odds/Point Spread: Pirates (+130) Reds (-141)

Great American Ball Park is the venue where Nicholas Castellanos and the Cincinnati Reds (21-26, 4th in NL Central) will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (14-30, 5th in NL Central) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has the Pirates priced at +130 and the Reds are at -141. The O/U has been set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Joe Musgrove and Michael Lorenzen.

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

9/14/2020 Chad Kuhl SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 19
9/13/2020 Keone Kela RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/11/2020 Tyler Bashlor RP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/9/2020 Yacksel Rios RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/6/2020 Anthony Alford CF Elbow Out for the season
9/2/2020 Mitch Keller SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
8/19/2020 Phillip Evans 3B Jaw Out for the season
8/11/2020 Clay Holmes RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
8/6/2020 Nick Burdi RP Elbow Out for the season
8/6/2020 Michael Feliz RP Forearm Out for the season
7/23/2020 Luke Maile C Finger Out for the season
6/30/2020 Kevin Kramer RF Hip Out for the season
6/30/2020 Chris Archer SP Shoulder Out for the season
2/13/2020 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

9/14/2020 Matt Bowman RP Elbow Out for the season
9/14/2020 Tyler Thornburg RP Elbow Out for the season
9/13/2020 Jesse Winker DH Back Probable for Sep 14
9/13/2020 Sonny Gray SP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/11/2020 Jesse Biddle RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/10/2020 Wade Miley SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 18

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Pirates have a 14-30 overall record this season. Musgrove (28-37 career record) holds a FIP of 4.02 and he has gone up against 2,018 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.42 (235 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.248. He has surrendered 478 base knocks (9.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 119 free passes. Musgrove has thrown 478 innings and has 436 punchouts so far in his MLB career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.39 and they have given up 171 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .203 against the bullpen and they've struck out 213 hitters and walked 96 batters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 5.08. The Pirates pitchers collectively have given up 365 base hits and 216 earned runs. They have allowed 66 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 193 batters and struck out 396. They have walked 4.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 5.09.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Pittsburgh is hitting .222, good for 28th in the league. The Pirates hold a .349 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .284, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 7.3 hits per game. Josh Bell is hitting .232 with an on-base percentage of .300. He has 35 hits this season in 151 at bats with 17 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .371 and an OPS+ of 81. Bryan Reynolds is hitting .176 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .273. He has totaled 24 hits and he has driven in 13 men in 136 at bats. His OPS+ is 63 while his slugging percentage is at .331. The Pirates have 322 hits, including 56 doubles and 39 home runs. Pittsburgh has walked 123 times so far this season and they have struck out 377 times as a unit. They have left 260 men on base and have a team OPS of .633. They score 3.8 runs per contest and have scored a total of 167 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 21-26 overall mark this year. In his career, Lorenzen has surrendered 416 base knocks while tallying 367 K's in 431 innings pitched. He has allowed 192 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.383 and having a FIP of 4.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.04 and he has faced 1,860 opposing batters during his pro baseball career. Lorenzen (20-21 career win-loss record) holds a 4.01 earned run average while allowing 8.7 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.06 and they have given up 126 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .190 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 185 batters and walked 79 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.8 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 325 base knocks and 184 earned runs this season. They have given up 55 home runs this year, which ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 179 hitters and struck out 469 batters. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.20.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .212, good for 30th in the league. The Reds hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 6.5 hits per contest. Nicholas Castellanos comes into this matchup batting .231 with an OBP of .314. He has 39 hits this year along with 29 RBI in 169 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .515 with an OPS+ of 111. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .211 this season and he has an OBP of .308. He has collected 34 hits in 161 at bats while driving in 30 runs. He has an OPS+ of 105 and a slugging percentage of .497. The Reds as a unit have 307 base hits, including 60 doubles and 69 homers. Cincinnati has walked 185 times this year and they have struck out on 407 occasions. They have had 293 men left on base and have an OPS of .711. They have scored 3.89 runs per game and totaled 183 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Pirates/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Pirates (+130)

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