Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/7/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Date: Monday, September 7, 2020

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY/NSPA

Odds/Point Spread: Phillies (-110) Mets (+100)

Brandon Nimmo and the New York Mets (18-22, 4th in NL East) play the Philadelphia Phillies (19-16, 2nd in NL East) at Citi Field on Monday. The Phillies open this matchup at -110 while the Mets are coming in at +100. The O/U has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Zack Wheeler and Michael Wacha.

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

9/5/2020 Roman Quinn CF Head Probable for Sep 6
9/5/2020 Jay Bruce LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/1/2020 Adam Morgan RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/31/2020 Scott Kingery 2B Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/29/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
8/25/2020 Jose Alvarez RP Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
7/25/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/5/2020 Tomas Nido C Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/30/2020 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/30/2020 Steven Matz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/30/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/28/2020 Corey Oswalt RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
8/13/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 19-16 overall record this season. Wheeler (48-38 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 3.73 while he has faced 3,359 hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.68 (325 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.281. He has surrendered 739 base knocks (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has 279 free passes. Wheeler has taken the hill for 795 frames and has accumulated 755 strikeouts thus far in his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.57 and they have given up 155 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .285 against the bullpen and they've struck out 119 hitters and walked 53 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.84. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 330 base hits and 162 earned runs. They have allowed 51 home runs this season, ranking them 14th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 108 batters and struck out 307. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 4.49.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .257, good for 10th in the league. The Phillies hold a .450 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Jean Segura is hitting .243 with an on-base percentage of .339. He has 27 hits this season in 111 at bats with 12 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .387 and an OPS+ of 93. Andrew McCutchen is hitting .256 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .302. He has totaled 33 hits and he has driven in 24 men in 129 at bats. His OPS+ is 87 while his slugging percentage is at .411. The Phillies have 298 hits, including 54 doubles and 52 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 134 times so far this season and they have struck out 275 times as a unit. They have left 249 men on base and have a team OPS of .792. They score 5.4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 189 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

During his pro baseball career, Wacha has allowed 877 base knocks while he has totaled 786 strikeouts in 887 innings. He has surrendered a total of 393 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.336 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.55 and he has gone up against 3,789 batters in his MLB career. Wacha (60-41 career mark) holds a 3.99 earned run average while conceding 8.9 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.21 and they have given up 140 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .202 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 173 batters and walked 78 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.63. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 338 base knocks and 176 earned runs this season. They have given up 45 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 133 hitters and struck out 371 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.02.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .271, good for 1st in the league. The Mets hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .350, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Brandon Nimmo comes into this matchup batting .244 with an OBP of .396. He has 30 hits this year along with 10 RBI in 123 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .447 with an OPS+ of 134. Michael Conforto is hitting .331 this season and he has an OBP of .423. He has collected 48 hits in 145 at bats while driving in 25 runs. He has an OPS+ of 165 and a slugging percentage of .538. The Mets as a unit have 361 base hits, including 67 doubles and 51 homers. New York has walked 138 times this year and they have struck out on 316 occasions. They have had 303 men left on base and have an OPS of .794. They have scored 4.55 runs per game and totaled 182 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mets (+100)

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