Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/6/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, September 6, 2020

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY/NSPA

Odds/Point Spread: Phillies (+139) Mets (-150)

Michael Conforto and the New York Mets (17-22, 4th in NL East) play the Philadelphia Phillies (19-15, 2nd in NL East) at Citi Field on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Phillies priced at +139 and the Mets are at -150. The O/U is set at 7. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Aaron Nola and Jacob deGrom.

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

9/1/2020 Adam Morgan RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/31/2020 Scott Kingery 2B Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/29/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
8/25/2020 Jose Alvarez RP Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
7/25/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/5/2020 Tomas Nido C Illness Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/30/2020 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/30/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/30/2020 Steven Matz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/28/2020 Corey Oswalt RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
8/13/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 19-15 overall record this season. Nola has taken the mound for 815 innings and has totaled 883 K's in his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.43 (311 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.156. He has surrendered 695 hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has 247 walks. Nola (57-37 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 3.46 while he has gone up against 3,343 hitters in the majors. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.69 and they have given up 148 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .287 against the bullpen and they've struck out 116 hitters and walked 50 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.82. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 321 base hits and 157 earned runs. They have allowed 51 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 105 batters and struck out 303. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 4.50.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .259, good for 9th in the league. The Phillies hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .343, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Andrew McCutchen is hitting .256 with an on-base percentage of .299. He has 32 hits this season in 125 at bats with 24 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .416 and an OPS+ of 88. Jean Segura is hitting .234 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .333. He has totaled 25 hits and he has driven in 12 men in 107 at bats. His OPS+ is 89 while his slugging percentage is at .374. The Phillies have 291 hits, including 53 doubles and 51 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 130 times so far this season and they have struck out 262 times as a unit. They have left 239 men on base and have a team OPS of .797. They score 5.53 runs per contest and have scored a total of 188 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 17-22 overall mark this year. So far in his career, deGrom has given up 922 base knocks and he has 1,313 K's in 1,142 innings. He has conceded a total of 329 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.048 and a FIP of 2.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.77 and he has gone up against 4,546 hitters thus far in his career. deGrom (68-50 career record) has earned a 2.59 earned run average while allowing 7.3 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.22 and they have given up 133 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .201 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 163 batters and walked 74 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.73. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 331 base knocks and 175 earned runs this season. They have given up 44 home runs this year, which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 129 hitters and struck out 358 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.04.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .271, good for 1st in the league. The Mets hold a .445 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .350, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Michael Conforto comes into this matchup batting .326 with an OBP of .421. He has 46 hits this year along with 24 RBI in 141 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .539 with an OPS+ of 164. Brandon Nimmo is hitting .252 this season and he has an OBP of .403. He has collected 30 hits in 119 at bats while driving in 10 runs. He has an OPS+ of 140 and a slugging percentage of .462. The Mets as a unit have 352 base hits, including 63 doubles and 51 homers. New York has walked 135 times this year and they have struck out on 312 occasions. They have had 295 men left on base and have an OPS of .794. They have scored 4.54 runs per game and totaled 177 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Phillies and under 7 runs

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