Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/5/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, September 5, 2020

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY/NSPA

Odds/Point Spread: Phillies (+130) Mets (-141)

Citi Field is the venue where Jeff McNeil and the New York Mets (17-21, 4th in NL East) will play the Philadelphia Phillies (18-15, 2nd in NL East) on Saturday. The Phillies open this matchup at +130 while the Mets are priced at -141. The total opens at 10. The pitchers taking the mound will be Spencer Howard and Seth Lugo.

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

9/1/2020 Adam Morgan RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/31/2020 Scott Kingery 2B Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/29/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
8/25/2020 Jose Alvarez RP Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
7/25/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

8/30/2020 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/30/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/30/2020 Steven Matz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/28/2020 Corey Oswalt RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/25/2020 Tomas Nido C Illness Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
8/13/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 18-15 overall record this season. Howard has pitched in 16 frames and has accounted for 15 strikeouts. His ERA is 5.56 (10 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.914. He has allowed 24 hits (13.3 hits per nine innings) with 7 walks. Howard (1-1 win-loss record) holds a FIP of 6.66 while he has gone up against 81 hitters. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.69 and they have given up 148 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .287 against the bullpen and they've struck out 116 hitters and walked 50 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.88. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 312 base hits and 154 earned runs. They have allowed 50 home runs this season, ranking them 10th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 103 batters and struck out 294. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 4.54.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .261, good for 9th in the league. The Phillies hold a .462 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .345, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Didi Gregorius is hitting .280 with an on-base percentage of .346. He has 33 hits this season in 118 at bats with 20 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .483 and an OPS+ of 119. Bryce Harper is hitting .276 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .431. He has totaled 29 hits and he has driven in 21 men in 105 at bats. His OPS+ is 156 while his slugging percentage is at .533. The Phillies have 285 hits, including 52 doubles and 51 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 126 times so far this season and they have struck out 251 times as a unit. They have left 232 men on base and have a team OPS of .807. They score 5.55 runs per contest and have scored a total of 183 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 17-21 overall mark this year. So far in his pro baseball career, Lugo has surrendered 312 base hits while he has earned 360 strikeouts in 363 innings pitched. He has allowed 130 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.118 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. He has a SO/W ratio of 3.83 and he has gone up against 1,485 opposing hitters thus far in his career. Lugo (23-17 career win-loss mark) holds a 3.22 earned run average and has given up 7.7 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.22 and they have given up 133 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .201 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 163 batters and walked 74 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.72. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 324 base knocks and 170 earned runs this season. They have given up 44 home runs this year, which ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 125 hitters and struck out 347 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.08.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .271, good for 1st in the league. The Mets hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .351, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Jeff McNeil comes into this matchup batting .292 with an OBP of .355. He has 31 hits this year along with 11 RBI in 106 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .377 with an OPS+ of 105. Robinson Cano is hitting .375 this season and he has an OBP of .408. He has collected 36 hits in 96 at bats while driving in 18 runs. He has an OPS+ of 192 and a slugging percentage of .667. The Mets as a unit have 343 base hits, including 63 doubles and 50 homers. New York has walked 133 times this year and they have struck out on 303 occasions. They have had 289 men left on base and have an OPS of .798. They have scored 4.58 runs per game and totaled 174 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Phillies and under 10 runs

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