Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/4/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, September 4, 2020

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY/NSPA

Odds/Point Spread: Phillies (+105) Mets (-115)

Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies (17-15, 2nd in NL East) travel to Citi Field on Friday where they'll take on the New York Mets (16-21, 4th in NL East). The Mets open this matchup at -115 while the Phillies are priced at +105. The O/U has been set at 10. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Jake Arrieta and Rick Porcello.

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

9/1/2020 Adam Morgan RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/31/2020 Scott Kingery 2B Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/29/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
8/25/2020 Jose Alvarez RP Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
7/25/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

8/30/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/30/2020 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/30/2020 Steven Matz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/28/2020 Corey Oswalt RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/25/2020 Tomas Nido C Illness Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
8/13/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 17-15 overall record this season. Arrieta has taken the ball for 1,496 frames and has tallied 1,336 punchouts so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.77 (626 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.217. He has surrendered 1,299 hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 521 walks. Arrieta (108-79 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.92 while he has gone up against 6,207 batters in the majors. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.86 and they have given up 145 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .291 against the bullpen and they've struck out 109 hitters and walked 47 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.89. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 302 base hits and 149 earned runs. They have allowed 48 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 100 batters and struck out 282. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 4.54.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .261, good for 9th in the league. The Phillies hold a .464 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .345, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Bryce Harper is hitting .280 with an on-base percentage of .439. He has 28 hits this season in 100 at bats with 21 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .550 and an OPS+ of 163. Didi Gregorius is hitting .270 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .333. He has totaled 31 hits and he has driven in 19 men in 115 at bats. His OPS+ is 112 while his slugging percentage is at .470. The Phillies have 275 hits, including 50 doubles and 50 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 121 times so far this season and they have struck out 240 times as a unit. They have left 223 men on base and have a team OPS of .809. They score 5.53 runs per contest and have scored a total of 177 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 16-21 overall mark this year. So far in his pro baseball career, Porcello has surrendered 2,240 base hits while he has totaled 1,534 punchouts in 2,070 innings. He has allowed a total of 1,010 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.315 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.18 and he has gone up against 8,797 hitters during his career. Porcello (150-122 career record) is the owner of a 4.39 ERA and has given up 9.7 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.28 and they have given up 129 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .206 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 154 batters and walked 69 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.67. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 316 base knocks and 163 earned runs this season. They have given up 44 home runs this year, which ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 116 hitters and struck out 338 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.08.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .268, good for 1st in the league. The Mets hold a .440 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .349, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Robinson Cano comes into this matchup batting .375 with an OBP of .408. He has 36 hits this year along with 18 RBI in 96 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .667 with an OPS+ of 192. Jeff McNeil is hitting .284 this season and he has an OBP of .345. He has collected 29 hits in 102 at bats while driving in 10 runs. He has an OPS+ of 100 and a slugging percentage of .373. The Mets as a unit have 329 base hits, including 60 doubles and 47 homers. New York has walked 130 times this year and they have struck out on 295 occasions. They have had 283 men left on base and have an OPS of .789. They have scored 4.46 runs per game and totaled 165 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Phillies and under 10 runs

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