Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/14/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

Date: Monday, September 14, 2020

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: FSFL

Odds/Point Spread: Phillies (-115) Marlins (+105)

Miguel Rojas and the Miami Marlins (22-21, 3rd in NL East) play the Philadelphia Phillies (23-21, 2nd in NL East) at Marlins Park on Monday. The Marlins open this matchup at +105 while the Phillies are priced at -115. The over/under is set at 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Vince Velasquez and Pablo Lopez.

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

9/13/2020 Rhys Hoskins 1B Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/13/2020 Zack Wheeler SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/13/2020 J.T C Hip Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/13/2020 Jose Alvarez RP Groin Out for the season
9/13/2020 Roman Quinn CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/13/2020 Spencer Howard SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/11/2020 Scott Kingery 2B Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/6/2020 Jay Bruce LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
8/29/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
7/25/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

9/13/2020 Brandon Leibrandt RP Elbow Out for the season
9/12/2020 Pat Venditte RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/12/2020 Jon Berti 2B Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/12/2020 Sean Rodriguez 3B Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/12/2020 Jeff Brigham RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/10/2020 Magneuris Sierra CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/10/2020 Brian Moran RP Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/10/2020 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Out for the season
9/10/2020 Jordan Holloway RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/7/2020 Harold Ramirez RF Hamstring Out for the season
9/5/2020 Elieser Hernandez SP Lat Out for the season
9/1/2020 Drew Steckenrider RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
8/28/2020 Logan Forsythe 2B Oblique Out for the season
8/24/2020 Stephen Tarpley RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/18/2020 Mike Morin RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 23-21 overall record this season. Velasquez has taken the hill for 542 innings and has earned 598 strikeouts in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.71 (284 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.374. He has allowed 532 hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 213 walks. Velasquez (27-34 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.40 and he has gone up against 2,334 batters during his time in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 7.31 and they have given up 199 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .296 against the bullpen and they've struck out 138 hitters and walked 67 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 10.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 5.12. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 415 base hits and 207 earned runs. They have allowed 65 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 130 batters and struck out 379. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.50 and their FIP as a unit is 4.66.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .262, good for 8th in the league. The Phillies hold a .452 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .348, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Bryce Harper is hitting .263 with an on-base percentage of .425. He has 35 hits this season in 133 at bats with 22 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .504 and an OPS+ of 147. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .245 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .384. He has totaled 37 hits and he has driven in 26 men in 151 at bats. His OPS+ is 134 while his slugging percentage is at .503. The Phillies have 371 hits, including 70 doubles and 62 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 169 times so far this season and they have struck out 327 times as a unit. They have left 302 men on base and have a team OPS of .800. They score 5.56 runs per contest and have scored a total of 239 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 22-21 overall mark this year. Lopez (10-16 career record) has a 4.71 earned run average while allowing 9.0 hits per nine innings. His SO/W ratio is 3.12 and he has gone up against 890 hitters during his MLB career. So far in his career, Lopez has allowed 209 hits while accumulating 181 strikeouts in 210 innings. He has conceded a total of 110 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.271 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.34 and they have given up 171 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 131 batters and walked 89 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.92. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 360 base knocks and 195 earned runs this season. They have given up 63 home runs this year, which ranks 11th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 161 hitters and struck out 317 batters. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 5.24.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .244, good for 18th in the league. The Marlins hold a .385 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Miguel Rojas comes into this matchup batting .347 with an OBP of .430. He has 26 hits this year along with 14 RBI in 75 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .533 with an OPS+ of 161. Jesus Aguilar is hitting .286 this season and he has an OBP of .347. He has collected 38 hits in 133 at bats while driving in 25 runs. He has an OPS+ of 123 and a slugging percentage of .481. The Marlins as a unit have 334 base hits, including 60 doubles and 41 homers. Miami has walked 142 times this year and they have struck out on 381 occasions. They have had 277 men left on base and have an OPS of .705. They have scored 4.45 runs per game and totaled 187 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins (+105)

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