Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/12/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins
Date: Saturday, September 12, 2020
Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL
TV: FSFL/NSPA
Odds/Point Spread: Phillies (+100) Marlins (-120)
Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies (21-19, 2nd in NL East) travel to Marlins Park on Saturday where they'll meet the Miami Marlins (20-19, 3rd in NL East). The Phillies open this contest at +100 while the Marlins are coming in at -120. The over/under is set at 9. The starting pitchers are Spencer Howard and Jose Urena.
Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries
9/11/2020 Zack Wheeler SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/11/2020 Scott Kingery 2B Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/6/2020 Roman Quinn CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
9/6/2020 Jay Bruce LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
8/29/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
8/25/2020 Jose Alvarez RP Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
7/25/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season
Key Miami Marlins Injuries
9/11/2020 Nick Neidert RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
9/10/2020 Jon Berti 2B Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/10/2020 Jordan Holloway RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/10/2020 Magneuris Sierra CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/10/2020 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Out for the season
9/10/2020 Brian Moran RP Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/8/2020 Brandon Leibrandt RP Elbow Out for the season
9/7/2020 Harold Ramirez RF Hamstring Out for the season
9/6/2020 Pat Venditte RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/5/2020 Elieser Hernandez SP Lat Out for the season
9/4/2020 Sean Rodriguez 3B Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/4/2020 Jeff Brigham RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/1/2020 Drew Steckenrider RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
8/28/2020 Logan Forsythe 2B Oblique Out for the season
8/24/2020 Stephen Tarpley RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/18/2020 Mike Morin RP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Phillies have a 21-19 overall record this season. The bullpen has an earned run average of 7.35 and they have given up 181 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .290 against the bullpen and they've struck out 133 hitters and walked 64 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 10.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.19. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 392 base hits and 197 earned runs. They have allowed 62 home runs this season, ranking them 7th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 125 batters and struck out 356. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.51 and their FIP as a unit is 4.69.
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Hitting Statistics
As a team Philadelphia is hitting .254, good for 10th in the league. The Phillies hold a .442 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Bryce Harper is hitting .254 with an on-base percentage of .419. He has 31 hits this season in 122 at bats with 21 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .475 and an OPS+ of 138. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .255 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .404. He has totaled 35 hits and he has driven in 22 men in 137 at bats. His OPS+ is 143 while his slugging percentage is at .518. The Phillies have 333 hits, including 58 doubles and 58 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 159 times so far this season and they have struck out 309 times as a unit. They have left 280 men on base and have a team OPS of .784. They score 5.33 runs per contest and have scored a total of 213 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
During his career, Urena has conceded 574 base hits while earning 393 strikeouts in 578 frames. He has conceded 294 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.335 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.98 and he has faced 2,474 hitters so far in his career. Urena (32-43 career record) has earned a 4.58 ERA while allowing 8.9 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.17 and they have given up 153 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .217 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 121 batters and walked 84 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.63. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 323 base knocks and 172 earned runs this season. They have given up 59 home runs this year, which ranks 11th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 151 hitters and struck out 299 batters. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 5.21.
Hitting Statistics
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 19th in the league. The Marlins hold a .384 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Miguel Rojas comes into this matchup batting .348 with an OBP of .438. He has 24 hits this year along with 14 RBI in 69 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .551 with an OPS+ of 168. Jesus Aguilar is hitting .285 this season and he has an OBP of .350. He has collected 35 hits in 123 at bats while driving in 24 runs. He has an OPS+ of 120 and a slugging percentage of .463. The Marlins as a unit have 311 base hits, including 58 doubles and 38 homers. Miami has walked 137 times this year and they have struck out on 358 occasions. They have had 262 men left on base and have an OPS of .704. They have scored 4.51 runs per game and totaled 176 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Phillies/Marlins MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins (-120)
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Additional Resources:
Miami Marlins - Twitter
Philadelphia Phillies - Twitter