Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/11/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, September 11, 2020

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: FSFL/NSPA

Odds/Point Spread: Phillies (-135) Marlins (+125)

Jesus Aguilar and the Miami Marlins (20-19, 3rd in NL East) host the Philadelphia Phillies (21-19, 2nd in NL East) at Marlins Park on Friday. The Phillies open this contest at -135 while the Marlins are priced at +125. The O/U is set at 6. The expected starting pitchers will be Aaron Nola and Trevor Rogers.

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

9/10/2020 Zack Wheeler SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
9/6/2020 Roman Quinn CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
9/6/2020 Jay Bruce LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/1/2020 Adam Morgan RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/31/2020 Scott Kingery 2B Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/29/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
8/25/2020 Jose Alvarez RP Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
7/25/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

9/10/2020 Magneuris Sierra CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/10/2020 Jon Berti 2B Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/10/2020 Jordan Holloway RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/10/2020 Brian Moran RP Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/10/2020 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Out for the season
9/9/2020 Caleb Smith SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/8/2020 Brandon Leibrandt RP Elbow Out for the season
9/7/2020 Harold Ramirez RF Hamstring Out for the season
9/6/2020 Pat Venditte RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/5/2020 Elieser Hernandez SP Lat Out for the season
9/4/2020 Sean Rodriguez 3B Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/4/2020 Jeff Brigham RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/2/2020 Nick Neidert RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/1/2020 Drew Steckenrider RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
8/28/2020 Logan Forsythe 2B Oblique Out for the season
8/24/2020 Stephen Tarpley RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/18/2020 Mike Morin RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 21-19 overall record this season. Nola has pitched in 820 innings and has accumulated 893 punchouts during his MLB career. His ERA is 3.45 (314 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.159. He has allowed 703 hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) with 248 free passes. Nola (57-38 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.47 while he has gone up against 3,369 hitters in the majors. The bullpen has an earned run average of 7.24 and they have given up 175 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .289 against the bullpen and they've struck out 130 hitters and walked 60 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 10.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 5.14. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 381 base hits and 190 earned runs. They have allowed 62 home runs this season, ranking them 7th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 117 batters and struck out 350. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.50 and their FIP as a unit is 4.69.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .254, good for 10th in the league. The Phillies hold a .442 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .258 with an on-base percentage of .410. He has 34 hits this season in 132 at bats with 22 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .530 and an OPS+ of 149. Bryce Harper is hitting .261 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .419. He has totaled 31 hits and he has driven in 21 men in 119 at bats. His OPS+ is 142 while his slugging percentage is at .487. The Phillies have 324 hits, including 56 doubles and 57 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 155 times so far this season and they have struck out 304 times as a unit. They have left 274 men on base and have a team OPS of .785. They score 5.31 runs per contest and have scored a total of 207 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 20-19 overall mark this year. Rogers (1-0 win-loss record) has a 3.00 earned run average while allowing 6.0 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.63 and he has gone up against 63 batters during his career. Rogers has conceded 10 base knocks while tallying 21 K's in 15 frames. He has given up 5 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.200 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.6. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.27 and they have given up 151 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .218 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 120 batters and walked 82 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.68. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 314 base knocks and 169 earned runs this season. They have given up 58 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 147 hitters and struck out 294 batters. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 5.22.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .240, good for 19th in the league. The Marlins hold a .384 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 7.9 hits per contest. Jesus Aguilar comes into this matchup batting .292 with an OBP of .348. He has 35 hits this year along with 24 RBI in 120 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .475 with an OPS+ of 123. Miguel Rojas is hitting .354 this season and he has an OBP of .440. He has collected 23 hits in 65 at bats while driving in 14 runs. He has an OPS+ of 170 and a slugging percentage of .554. The Marlins as a unit have 300 base hits, including 55 doubles and 38 homers. Miami has walked 129 times this year and they have struck out on 352 occasions. They have had 250 men left on base and have an OPS of .701. They have scored 4.45 runs per game and totaled 169 runs this season.

Who will will tonight's Phillies/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Phillies and over 6 runs

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