Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/10/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

Date: Thursday, September 10, 2020

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: FSFL/NSPA

Odds/Point Spread: Phillies (-115) Marlins (+105)

Miguel Rojas and the Miami Marlins (19-18, 3rd in NL East) play the Philadelphia Phillies (21-18, 2nd in NL East) at Marlins Park on Thursday. The Phillies open this matchup at -115 while the Marlins are priced at +105. The O/U has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Jake Arrieta and Sandy Alcantara.

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

9/6/2020 Roman Quinn CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
9/6/2020 Jay Bruce LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/1/2020 Adam Morgan RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/31/2020 Scott Kingery 2B Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/29/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
8/25/2020 Jose Alvarez RP Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
7/25/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

9/9/2020 Caleb Smith SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/8/2020 Jon Berti CF Finger Probable for Sep 9
9/8/2020 Brandon Leibrandt RP Elbow Out for the season
9/8/2020 Jordan Holloway RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/7/2020 Magneuris Sierra CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/7/2020 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
9/7/2020 Harold Ramirez RF Hamstring Out for the season
9/6/2020 Pat Venditte RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/5/2020 Brian Moran RP Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/5/2020 Elieser Hernandez SP Lat Out for the season
9/4/2020 Sean Rodriguez 3B Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/4/2020 Jeff Brigham RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/2/2020 Nick Neidert RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/1/2020 Drew Steckenrider RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
8/28/2020 Logan Forsythe 2B Oblique Out for the season
8/24/2020 Stephen Tarpley RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/18/2020 Mike Morin RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 21-18 overall record this season. Arrieta has pitched in 1,503 frames and has accumulated 1,343 punchouts during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.76 (628 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.216. He has allowed 1,306 base knocks (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 522 free passes. Arrieta (109-79 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.92 and he has faced 6,234 hitters in the majors. The bullpen has an earned run average of 7.24 and they have given up 175 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .289 against the bullpen and they've struck out 130 hitters and walked 60 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 10.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 5.14. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 381 base hits and 190 earned runs. They have allowed 62 home runs this season, ranking them 4th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 117 batters and struck out 350. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.50 and their FIP as a unit is 4.68.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .254, good for 11th in the league. The Phillies hold a .442 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Bryce Harper is hitting .261 with an on-base percentage of .419. He has 31 hits this season in 119 at bats with 21 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .487 and an OPS+ of 141. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .258 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .410. He has totaled 34 hits and he has driven in 22 men in 132 at bats. His OPS+ is 149 while his slugging percentage is at .530. The Phillies have 324 hits, including 56 doubles and 57 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 155 times so far this season and they have struck out 304 times as a unit. They have left 274 men on base and have a team OPS of .785. They score 5.31 runs per contest and have scored a total of 207 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 19-18 overall mark this year. So far in his pro baseball career, Alcantara has conceded 225 base hits while he has earned 208 punchouts in 256 frames. He has allowed a total of 109 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.335 and a FIP of 4.6. He has a SO/W ratio of 1.78 and he has faced 1,093 opposing batters in his MLB career. Alcantara (10-18 career record) is the owner of a 3.83 earned run average while surrendering 7.9 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.29 and they have given up 132 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .204 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 113 batters and walked 77 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.03. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 291 base knocks and 142 earned runs this season. They have given up 51 home runs this year, which ranks 21st in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 138 hitters and struck out 285 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.93.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .237, good for 20th in the league. The Marlins hold a .376 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Miguel Rojas comes into this matchup batting .367 with an OBP of .457. He has 22 hits this year along with 14 RBI in 60 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .583 with an OPS+ of 183. Jesus Aguilar is hitting .278 this season and he has an OBP of .338. He has collected 32 hits in 115 at bats while driving in 23 runs. He has an OPS+ of 114 and a slugging percentage of .452. The Marlins as a unit have 287 base hits, including 52 doubles and 36 homers. Miami has walked 125 times this year and they have struck out on 345 occasions. They have had 243 men left on base and have an OPS of .690. They have scored 4.32 runs per game and totaled 160 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Phillies (-115)

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