Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 8/18/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, August 18, 2020

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN/NSPA

Odds/Point Spread: Phillies (-106) Red Sox (-104)

Fenway Park is the venue where J.D. Martinez and the Boston Red Sox (6-16, 5th in AL East) will take on the Philadelphia Phillies (8-9, 3rd in NL East) on Tuesday. The Red Sox open this game at -104 while the Phillies are coming in at -106. The over/under is set at 10.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Zach Eflin and Zack Godley.

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

8/16/2020 Jean Segura 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 18
8/16/2020 Roman Quinn CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
8/16/2020 Jay Bruce LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 18
8/14/2020 Spencer Howard SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
8/13/2020 Adam Haseley CF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/11/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/11/2020 Ranger Suarez RP Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 18
7/25/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

8/16/2020 Josh Taylor RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 18
8/16/2020 Darwinzon Hernandez RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
8/16/2020 Jose Peraza 2B Knee Probable for Aug 17
8/13/2020 Andrew Benintendi LF Ribs Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/1/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Out for the season
7/7/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 8-9 overall record this season. Eflin has taken the hill for 429 innings and has 333 punchouts in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.70 (224 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.340. He has conceded 459 hits (9.6 hits per nine innings) with 116 free passes. Eflin (25-32 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.81 while he has gone up against 1,848 opposing hitters in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 8.77 and they have given up 80 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .317 against the bullpen and they've struck out 52 hitters and walked 19 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 10.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 5.46. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 166 base hits and 88 earned runs. They have allowed 28 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 41 batters and struck out 146. They have walked 2.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.63.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .261, good for 5th in the league. The Phillies hold a .460 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .343, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. J.T. Realmuto is hitting .300 with an on-base percentage of .354. He has 18 hits this season in 60 at bats with 20 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .717 and an OPS+ of 184. Didi Gregorius is hitting .295 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .323. He has totaled 18 hits and he has driven in 12 men in 61 at bats. His OPS+ is 116 while his slugging percentage is at .475. The Phillies have 144 hits, including 25 doubles and 25 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 66 times so far this season and they have struck out 117 times as a unit. They have left 117 men on base and have a team OPS of .803. They score 5.29 runs per contest and have scored a total of 90 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 6-16 overall mark this year. Godley (37-32 career mark) is the owner of a 4.78 ERA while conceding 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.36 and he has faced 2,381 hitters so far in his career. So far in his MLB career, Godley has given up 535 hits and he has 528 punchouts in 550 frames. He has conceded a total of 292 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.379 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.18 and they have given up 115 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 114 batters and walked 48 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 10.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 6.03. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 223 base knocks and 128 earned runs this season. They have given up 34 home runs this year, which ranks 3rd in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 92 hitters and struck out 185 batters. They give up a walk 4.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.65 while their FIP as a staff is 5.13.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .250, good for 9th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. J.D. Martinez comes into this matchup batting .238 with an OBP of .330. He has 19 hits this year along with 11 RBI in 80 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .413 with an OPS+ of 98. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .257 this season and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 18 hits in 70 at bats while driving in 11 runs. He has an OPS+ of 116 and a slugging percentage of .486. The Red Sox as a unit have 189 base hits, including 41 doubles and 27 homers. Boston has walked 57 times this year and they have struck out on 200 occasions. They have had 141 men left on base and have an OPS of .730. They have scored 4.32 runs per game and totaled 95 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox (-104)

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