New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 7/23/2020

Game: New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals

Date: Thursday, July 23, 2020

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Yankees (-135) Nationals (+115)

The New York Yankees visit Nationals Park on Thursday to play the Washington Nationals. The probable starters are Gerrit Cole for the Yankees and Max Scherzer for the Nationals.

The opening line for this matchup has New York at -135 and Washington at +115. The Yankees had a 88-77-6 over/under record and a 108-63-0 run line mark last season. The Nationals were 103-74-0 against the run line and had a 82-83-12 over/under record.

Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends

The New York Yankees were 88-77-6 against the over/under last year

The New York Yankees were 108-63-0 against the run line last season

Important Washington Nationals Betting Trends

The Washington Nationals were 82-83-12 against the over/under last year

The Washington Nationals were 103-74-0 against the run line last season

Key New York Yankees Injuries

7/21/2020 Masahiro Tanaka SP Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/20/2020 Luis Cessa RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/20/2020 Rosell Herrera SS Heel Questionable for start of season
7/20/2020 DJ LeMahieu 2B Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/20/2020 Aroldis Chapman RP Illness Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/19/2020 Kyle Holder SS Hip Questionable for start of season
6/28/2020 Luis Severino SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 1, 2021

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

7/16/2020 Victor Robles CF Undisclosed Questionable for start of season
7/13/2020 Roenis Elias RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/13/2020 Wander Suero RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/8/2020 Steven Fuentes RP Suspension Suspended until Aug 1
6/29/2020 Adrian Sanchez 3B Achilles Expected to be out until at least Jul 1, 2021

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees had a 103-59 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Gerrit Cole had a 20-5 record with an earned run average of 2.50 and a WHIP of 0.90. He had 326 strikeouts over his 212.1 innings pitched and he gave up 142 hits. He allowed 6 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 2.64. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.08 and they gave up 610 base hits on the year. Teams hit .239 against the bullpen while striking out 750 hitters and walking 267 batters. As a team, New York allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They were 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Yankees pitchers collectively gave up 1,374 base hits and 691 earned runs last year. They allowed 248 home runs last season, ranking them 7th in the league. New York as a pitching staff walked 507 batters and struck out 1,534. They walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit was 4.47.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York hit .267, good for 4th in the league. The Yankees held a .490 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which was good for 4th in baseball. They ranked 6th in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Gleyber Torres hit .278 with an on-base percentage of .337 last year. He had 152 hits last season in 546 at bats with 90 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .535 and an OPS+ of 128. Aaron Judge hit .272 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .381. He totaled 103 hits and he drove in 55 men in 378 at bats. His OPS+ was 143 while his slugging percentage was at .540. The Yankees had 1,493 hits last season, including 290 doubles and 306 home runs. New York walked 569 times last year and they struck out 1,437 times as a unit. They left 1,039 men on base and had a team OPS of .829. They scored 5.82 runs per contest and scored a total of 943 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Washington had a 93-69 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 2.92, Max Scherzer had a 11-7 record and a 1.03 WHIP. He had 243 strikeouts over the 172.1 innings he pitched. He also gave up 144 hits. He allowed 7.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 2.45. The bullpen had an earned run average of 5.68 and they gave up 520 base hits on the year. Teams hit .262 against the Nationals bullpen. Their relievers struck out 501 batters and walked 219 opposing hitters. As a team, Washington allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They were 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.27. The Nationals pitchers as a team surrendered 1,340 base knocks and 683 earned runs last season. They gave up 202 home runs last year, which ranked 24th in Major League Baseball. Washington as a staff walked 517 hitters and struck out 1,511 batters. They gave up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they struck out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.29 while their FIP as a staff was 4.14.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .265, good for 5th in the league. The Nationals held a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342, which was good for 2nd in baseball. They ranked 7th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Juan Soto comes into this matchup after batting .282 with an OBP of .401 last season. He had 153 hits last year along with 110 RBI in 542 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .548 with an OPS+ of 138. Trea Turner hit .298 last season and he had an OBP of .353. He collected 155 hits in 521 at bats while driving in 57 runs. He had an OPS+ of 113 and a slugging percentage of .497. The Nationals as a unit had 1,460 base hits last season, including 298 doubles and 231 homers. Washington walked 584 times last year and they struck out on 1,308 occasions. They left 1,114 men on base and had an OPS of .796. They scored 5.39 runs per game and totaled 873 runs last year.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Nationals MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Yankees (-135)

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