New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 7/28/2020

Game: New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2020

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: FS1/YES/NSPA

Odds/Point Spread: Yankees (-160) Phillies (+140)

The New York Yankees head to Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday to take on the Philadelphia Phillies. The expected starting pitchers are J.A. Happ for the Yankees and Jake Arrieta for the Phillies.

The odds for this matchup have New York at -160 and Philadelphia at +140. The Yankees had a 88-77-6 over/under mark and a 108-63-0 run line record last year. The Phillies were 81-81-0 against the run line and had a 73-82-7 over/under record.

Valuable New York Yankees Betting Trends

The New York Yankees were 88-77-6 against the over/under last year

The New York Yankees were 108-63-0 against the run line last season

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies were 73-82-7 against the over/under last year

The Philadelphia Phillies were 81-81-0 against the run line last season

Key New York Yankees Injuries

7/26/2020 Luis Cessa RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/26/2020 Kyle Holder SS Hip Probable for Jul 26
7/23/2020 Rosell Herrera SS Heel Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/22/2020 Masahiro Tanaka SP Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/20/2020 Aroldis Chapman RP Illness Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
6/28/2020 Luis Severino SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

7/26/2020 Los Santos Enyel De Los Santos RP Hamstring Probable for Jul 26
7/26/2020 Ranger Suarez RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/25/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season
7/22/2020 Zach Eflin SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/18/2020 Victor Arano RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/16/2020 Rafael Marchan C Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
4/30/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees had a 103-59 overall record last season. Starting pitcher J.A. Happ had a 12-8 record with an earned run average of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.30. He had 140 strikeouts over his 161.1 innings pitched and he gave up 160 hits. He allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 5.22. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.08 and they gave up 610 base hits on the year. Teams hit .239 against the bullpen and they struck out 750 hitters while walking 267 batters. As a team, New York allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They were 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Yankees pitchers collectively gave up 1,374 base hits and 691 earned runs last year. They allowed 248 home runs last season, ranking them 7th in the league. New York as a pitching staff walked 507 batters and struck out 1,534. They walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit was 4.47.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York hit .267, good for 4th in the league. The Yankees held a .490 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which was good for 4th in baseball. They ranked 6th in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Brett Gardner hit .251 with an on-base percentage of .325 last year. He had 123 hits last season in 491 at bats with 74 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .503 and an OPS+ of 117. Gary Sanchez hit .232 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .316. He totaled 92 hits and he drove in 77 men in 396 at bats. His OPS+ was 119 while his slugging percentage was at .525. The Yankees had 1,493 hits last season, including 290 doubles and 306 home runs. New York walked 569 times last year and they struck out 1,437 times as a unit. They left 1,039 men on base and had a team OPS of .829. They scored 5.82 runs per contest and scored a total of 943 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia had a 81-81 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 4.64, Jake Arrieta had a 8-8 record and a 1.47 WHIP. He had 110 strikeouts over the 135.2 innings he pitched. He also gave up 149 hits. He allowed 9.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.89. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.38 and they gave up 574 base hits on the year. Teams hit .254 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers struck out 584 batters and walked 236 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allowed 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They were 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.53. The Phillies pitchers as a team surrendered 1,452 base knocks and 731 earned runs last season. They gave up 258 home runs last year, which ranked 5th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff walked 546 hitters and struck out 1,392 batters. They gave up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they struck out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.37 while their FIP as a staff was 4.88.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .246, good for 21st in the league. The Phillies held a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which was good for 20th in baseball. They ranked 18th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Andrew McCutchen comes into this matchup after batting .256 with an OBP of .378 last season. He had 56 hits last year along with 29 RBI in 219 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .457 with an OPS+ of 115. J.T. Realmuto hit .275 last season and he had an OBP of .328. He collected 148 hits in 538 at bats while driving in 83 runs. He had an OPS+ of 108 and a slugging percentage of .493. The Phillies as a unit had 1,369 base hits last season, including 311 doubles and 215 homers. Philadelphia walked 562 times last year and they struck out on 1,453 occasions. They left 1,129 men on base and had an OPS of .746. They scored 4.78 runs per game and totaled 774 runs last year.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Yankees (-160)

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