New York Yankees vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/3/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs New York Mets

Date: Thursday, September 3, 2020

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Yankees (-187) Mets (+171)

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets (15-21, 4th in NL East) host the New York Yankees (20-14, 2nd in AL East) at Citi Field on Thursday. The line on this game has the Yankees priced at -187 and the Mets are at +171. The O/U is set at 9.5. The pitchers taking the mound are J.A. Happ and Robert Gsellman.

Key New York Yankees Injuries

8/31/2020 Giancarlo Stanton DH Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 7
8/31/2020 Gleyber Torres SS Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
8/28/2020 Aaron Judge RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
8/28/2020 James Paxton SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
8/6/2020 Tommy Kahnle RP Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2020 Luis Severino SP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/1/2020 J.D 3B Hip Probable for Sep 2
9/1/2020 Miguel Castro RP Illness Probable for Sep 2
8/30/2020 Steven Matz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/30/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/30/2020 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/28/2020 Corey Oswalt RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/25/2020 Tomas Nido C Illness Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
8/13/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees have a 20-14 overall record this season. Happ (122-91 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.30 while he has gone up against 7,260 hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 4.00 (760 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.306. He has given up 1,621 base hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) with 615 walks. Happ has pitched in 1,712 innings and has earned 1,508 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 101 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .198 against the bullpen and they've struck out 131 hitters and walked 51 batters. As a team, New York allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.26. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 242 base hits and 131 earned runs. They have allowed 46 home runs this season, ranking them 16th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 95 batters and struck out 294. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.22 and their FIP as a unit is 4.37.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .245, good for 17th in the league. The Yankees hold a .451 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 7.6 hits per game. Clint Frazier is hitting .292 with an on-base percentage of .404. He has 14 hits this season in 48 at bats with 11 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .563 and an OPS+ of 163. DJ LeMahieu is hitting .402 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .444. He has totaled 37 hits and he has driven in 10 men in 92 at bats. His OPS+ is 182 while his slugging percentage is at .587. The Yankees have 257 hits, including 45 doubles and 55 home runs. New York has walked 123 times so far this season and they have struck out 279 times as a unit. They have left 215 men on base and have a team OPS of .785. They score 4.91 runs per contest and have scored a total of 167 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Gsellman (20-15 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 4.47 earned run average and has conceded 9.4 hits per nine innings. His SO/W ratio is 2.38 and he has faced 1,396 batters so far in his pro baseball career. Thus far in his career, Gsellman has given up 332 hits and he has 262 punchouts in 316 innings. He has allowed 157 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.398 and a FIP of 4.2. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.47 and they have given up 123 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .204 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 150 batters and walked 67 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.75. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 306 base knocks and 161 earned runs this season. They have given up 44 home runs this year, which ranks 21st in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 113 hitters and struck out 332 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.12.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .265, good for 4th in the league. The Mets hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Pete Alonso comes into this matchup batting .208 with an OBP of .324. He has 26 hits this year along with 19 RBI in 125 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .376 with an OPS+ of 94. Michael Conforto is hitting .313 this season and he has an OBP of .413. He has collected 40 hits in 128 at bats while driving in 17 runs. He has an OPS+ of 149 and a slugging percentage of .484. The Mets as a unit have 315 base hits, including 56 doubles and 45 homers. New York has walked 127 times this year and they have struck out on 294 occasions. They have had 276 men left on base and have an OPS of .781. They have scored 4.33 runs per game and totaled 156 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Yankees (-187)

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