New York Yankees vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/21/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, August 21, 2020

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: YES/SNY/ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Yankees (-102) Mets (-108)

J.D. Davis and the New York Mets (12-14, 4th in NL East) play the New York Yankees (16-8, 1st in AL East) at Citi Field on Friday. The Yankees open this matchup at -102 while the Mets are priced at -108. The over/under is set at 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be J.A. Happ and Rick Porcello.

Key New York Yankees Injuries

8/20/2020 Zack Britton RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/20/2020 Gleyber Torres SS Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
8/19/2020 Kyle Higashioka C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/17/2020 DJ LeMahieu 2B Thumb Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/17/2020 Giancarlo Stanton DH Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/14/2020 Aaron Judge RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 22
8/6/2020 Tommy Kahnle RP Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2020 Luis Severino SP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

8/20/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
8/20/2020 Jake Marisnick CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
8/18/2020 David Peterson SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 29
8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
8/16/2020 Michael Wacha SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/13/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Yankees have a 16-8 overall record this season. Happ has taken the ball for 1,704 frames and has accounted for 1,503 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.01 (760 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.310. He has surrendered 1,618 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) with 615 free passes. Happ (122-91 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.32 while going up against 7,237 opposing batters during his time in the majors. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.34 and they have given up 71 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .183 against the bullpen and they've struck out 99 hitters and walked 38 batters. As a team, New York allows 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.01. The Yankees pitchers collectively have given up 171 base hits and 89 earned runs. They have allowed 30 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 70 batters and struck out 204. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 4.24.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .254, good for 9th in the league. The Yankees hold a .475 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Gleyber Torres is hitting .237 with an on-base percentage of .348. He has 18 hits this season in 76 at bats with 5 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .303 and an OPS+ of 84. Aaron Hicks is hitting .222 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .380. He has totaled 14 hits and he has driven in 7 men in 63 at bats. His OPS+ is 128 while his slugging percentage is at .444. The Yankees have 192 hits, including 34 doubles and 43 home runs. New York has walked 92 times so far this season and they have struck out 202 times as a unit. They have left 157 men on base and have a team OPS of .820. They score 5.42 runs per contest and have scored a total of 130 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 12-14 overall mark this year. So far in his pro baseball career, Porcello has given up 2,231 base knocks while accumulating 1,528 K's in 2,062 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 1,004 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.315 and a FIP of 4.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.18 and he has faced 8,762 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. Porcello (150-121 career mark) holds a 4.38 ERA while giving up 9.7 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.56 and they have given up 98 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 118 batters and walked 43 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.89. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 237 base knocks and 124 earned runs this season. They have given up 34 home runs this year, which ranks 8th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 77 hitters and struck out 243 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.11.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .268, good for 1st in the league. The Mets hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .356, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.2 hits per contest. J.D. Davis comes into this matchup batting .284 with an OBP of .410. He has 23 hits this year along with 12 RBI in 81 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .457 with an OPS+ of 143. Jeff McNeil is hitting .269 this season and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 18 hits in 67 at bats while driving in 8 runs. He has an OPS+ of 87 and a slugging percentage of .328. The Mets as a unit have 238 base hits, including 43 doubles and 34 homers. New York has walked 103 times this year and they have struck out on 224 occasions. They have had 213 men left on base and have an OPS of .799. They have scored 4.73 runs per game and totaled 123 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Yankees/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mets (-108)

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