New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/13/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Sunday, September 13, 2020

Location: Sahlen Field in Buffalo, NY

TV: RSN/SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Mets (+130) Blue Jays (-140)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr and the Toronto Blue Jays (24-20, 2nd in AL East) play the New York Mets (21-24, 4th in NL East) at Sahlen Field on Sunday. The line on this contest has the Mets coming in at +130 and the Blue Jays are at -140. The O/U opens at 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are David Peterson and Hyun Jin Ryu.

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/11/2020 Steven Matz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/11/2020 Tomas Nido C Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 12
9/9/2020 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/9/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/9/2020 Robert Gsellman SP Ribs Out for the season
8/30/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/28/2020 Corey Oswalt RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

9/11/2020 Matt Shoemaker SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/11/2020 Jordan Romano RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/11/2020 Elvis Luciano RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/11/2020 Nate Pearson SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/9/2020 Rowdy Tellez 1B Knee Out for the season
9/7/2020 Wilmer Font RP Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/7/2020 Teoscar Hernandez RF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/5/2020 Yennsy Diaz RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/27/2020 Trent Thornton SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 21-24 overall record this season. Peterson (4-1 win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.74 while he has faced 135 batters in the majors. His ERA is 4.33 (15 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.378. He has conceded 26 hits (7.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 17 free passes. Peterson has pitched in 31 innings and has racked up 24 strikeouts. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.17 and they have given up 160 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .203 against the bullpen and they've struck out 188 hitters and walked 87 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.68. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 384 base hits and 202 earned runs. They have allowed 54 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 150 batters and struck out 416. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.19.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .279, good for 1st in the league. The Mets hold a .470 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .355, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.5 hits per game. Pete Alonso is hitting .226 with an on-base percentage of .333. He has 36 hits this season in 159 at bats with 26 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .459 and an OPS+ of 115. Jeff McNeil is hitting .326 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .399. He has totaled 43 hits and he has driven in 21 men in 132 at bats. His OPS+ is 147 while his slugging percentage is at .508. The Mets have 426 hits, including 85 doubles and 66 home runs. New York has walked 151 times so far this season and they have struck out 367 times as a unit. They have left 340 men on base and have a team OPS of .826. They score 5.13 runs per contest and have scored a total of 231 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Toronto has a 24-20 overall mark this year. Ryu (57-34 career mark) is the owner of a 2.99 ERA and has conceded 8.4 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.03 and he has gone up against 3,224 batters so far in his career. In his career, Ryu has given up 739 base hits while earning 718 K's in 788 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 262 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.164 and having a FIP of 3.4. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.65 and they have given up 172 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .198 against the Blue Jays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 210 batters and walked 102 opposing hitters. As a team, Toronto allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.11. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 360 base knocks and 178 earned runs this season. They have given up 56 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. Toronto as a staff has walked 182 hitters and struck out 393 batters. They give up a walk 4.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.53.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .252, good for 11th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Vladimir Guerrero Jr comes into this matchup batting .245 with an OBP of .324. He has 40 hits this year along with 23 RBI in 163 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .417 with an OPS+ of 101. Travis Shaw is hitting .242 this season and he has an OBP of .314. He has collected 30 hits in 124 at bats while driving in 12 runs. He has an OPS+ of 92 and a slugging percentage of .395. The Blue Jays as a unit have 376 base hits, including 74 doubles and 67 homers. Toronto has walked 157 times this year and they have struck out on 370 occasions. They have had 293 men left on base and have an OPS of .761. They have scored 4.84 runs per game and totaled 213 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Mets (+130)

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