New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/12/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Saturday, September 12, 2020

Location: Sahlen Field in Buffalo, NY

TV: RSN/SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Mets (+100) Blue Jays (-120)

Sahlen Field is the site where Travis Shaw and the Toronto Blue Jays (24-19, 2nd in AL East) will take on the New York Mets (20-24, 4th in NL East) on Saturday. The Blue Jays open this contest at -120 while the Mets are coming in at +100. The total has been set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Seth Lugo and Robbie Ray.

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/11/2020 Steven Matz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/11/2020 Tomas Nido C Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 12
9/9/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/9/2020 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/9/2020 Robert Gsellman SP Ribs Out for the season
8/30/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/28/2020 Corey Oswalt RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

9/11/2020 Matt Shoemaker SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/11/2020 Jordan Romano RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/11/2020 Elvis Luciano RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/11/2020 Nate Pearson SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/9/2020 Rowdy Tellez 1B Knee Out for the season
9/7/2020 Teoscar Hernandez RF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/7/2020 Wilmer Font RP Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/5/2020 Yennsy Diaz RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/28/2020 Bo Bichette SS Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/27/2020 Trent Thornton SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 20-24 overall record this season. Lugo (24-17 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.50 while he has faced 1,506 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.20 (131 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.119. He has surrendered 316 hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) with 96 free passes. Lugo has taken the mound for 368 frames and has racked up 368 punchouts so far in his pro baseball career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.24 and they have given up 158 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .203 against the bullpen and they've struck out 187 hitters and walked 86 batters. As a team, New York allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.77. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 379 base hits and 201 earned runs. They have allowed 54 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 147 batters and struck out 406. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.23.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .275, good for 1st in the league. The Mets hold a .463 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .351, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.3 hits per game. Jeff McNeil is hitting .315 with an on-base percentage of .388. He has 40 hits this season in 127 at bats with 19 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .496 and an OPS+ of 141. Pete Alonso is hitting .234 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .339. He has totaled 36 hits and he has driven in 26 men in 154 at bats. His OPS+ is 120 while his slugging percentage is at .474. The Mets have 407 hits, including 80 doubles and 63 home runs. New York has walked 145 times so far this season and they have struck out 357 times as a unit. They have left 330 men on base and have a team OPS of .814. They score 4.84 runs per contest and have scored a total of 213 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Toronto has a 24-19 overall mark this year. During his MLB career, Ray has conceded 753 base hits and he has 1,026 K's in 828 frames. He has surrendered a total of 393 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.381 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.62 and he has faced 3,584 hitters during his career. Ray (48-50 win-loss record in his career) has a 4.27 ERA while surrendering 8.2 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.27 and they have given up 157 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .189 against the Blue Jays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 204 batters and walked 99 opposing hitters. As a team, Toronto allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.9. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 341 base knocks and 165 earned runs this season. They have given up 53 home runs this year, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. Toronto as a staff has walked 176 hitters and struck out 383 batters. They give up a walk 4.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.43.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .253, good for 11th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Travis Shaw comes into this matchup batting .248 with an OBP of .316. He has 30 hits this year along with 12 RBI in 121 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .405 with an OPS+ of 95. Vladimir Guerrero Jr is hitting .245 this season and he has an OBP of .326. He has collected 39 hits in 159 at bats while driving in 22 runs. He has an OPS+ of 102 and a slugging percentage of .421. The Blue Jays as a unit have 371 base hits, including 73 doubles and 67 homers. Toronto has walked 154 times this year and they have struck out on 360 occasions. They have had 287 men left on base and have an OPS of .768. They have scored 4.93 runs per game and totaled 212 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Mets (+100)

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