New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/11/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Friday, September 11, 2020

Location: Sahlen Field in Buffalo, NY

TV: RSN/SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Mets (-173) Blue Jays (+159)

Sahlen Field is the site where Vladimir Guerrero Jr and the Toronto Blue Jays (24-19, 2nd in AL East) will take on the New York Mets (20-24, 4th in NL East) on Friday. The line on this game has the Mets coming in at -173 and the Blue Jays are at +159. The total is set at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Jacob deGrom and Chase Anderson.

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/9/2020 Steven Matz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/9/2020 Robert Gsellman SP Ribs Out for the season
9/9/2020 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/9/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/5/2020 Tomas Nido C Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/30/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/28/2020 Corey Oswalt RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

9/9/2020 Rowdy Tellez 1B Knee Out for the season
9/7/2020 Wilmer Font RP Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/7/2020 Teoscar Hernandez RF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/5/2020 Yennsy Diaz RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/5/2020 Ken Giles RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/31/2020 Elvis Luciano RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/31/2020 Jordan Romano RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
8/30/2020 Matt Shoemaker SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
8/28/2020 Bo Bichette SS Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/27/2020 Trent Thornton SP Elbow Out for the season
8/25/2020 Nate Pearson SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 15

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 20-24 overall record this season. deGrom has taken the hill for 1,149 innings and has tallied 1,325 K's in his MLB career. His earned run average is 2.58 (330 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.046. He has allowed 925 base hits (7.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 277 walks. deGrom (69-50 career mark) holds a FIP of 2.79 and he has faced 4,572 hitters during his time in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.24 and they have given up 158 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .203 against the bullpen and they've struck out 187 hitters and walked 86 batters. As a team, New York allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.77. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 379 base hits and 201 earned runs. They have allowed 54 home runs this season, ranking them 16th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 147 batters and struck out 406. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.23.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .275, good for 1st in the league. The Mets hold a .463 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .351, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.3 hits per game. Pete Alonso is hitting .234 with an on-base percentage of .339. He has 36 hits this season in 154 at bats with 26 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .474 and an OPS+ of 122. Jeff McNeil is hitting .315 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .388. He has totaled 40 hits and he has driven in 19 men in 127 at bats. His OPS+ is 142 while his slugging percentage is at .496. The Mets have 407 hits, including 80 doubles and 63 home runs. New York has walked 145 times so far this season and they have struck out 357 times as a unit. They have left 330 men on base and have a team OPS of .814. They score 4.84 runs per contest and have scored a total of 213 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Toronto has a 24-19 overall mark this year. So far in his MLB career, Anderson has allowed 829 base knocks and he has 742 K's in 880 innings pitched. He has allowed 388 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.267 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.6. He has a SO/W ratio of 2.59 and he has faced 3,681 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Anderson (53-40 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 3.97 ERA and has allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.27 and they have given up 157 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .189 against the Blue Jays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 204 batters and walked 99 opposing hitters. As a team, Toronto allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.9. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 341 base knocks and 165 earned runs this season. They have given up 53 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Toronto as a staff has walked 176 hitters and struck out 383 batters. They give up a walk 4.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.43.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .253, good for 11th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Vladimir Guerrero Jr comes into this matchup batting .245 with an OBP of .326. He has 39 hits this year along with 22 RBI in 159 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .421 with an OPS+ of 102. Travis Shaw is hitting .248 this season and he has an OBP of .316. He has collected 30 hits in 121 at bats while driving in 12 runs. He has an OPS+ of 95 and a slugging percentage of .405. The Blue Jays as a unit have 371 base hits, including 73 doubles and 67 homers. Toronto has walked 154 times this year and they have struck out on 360 occasions. They have had 287 men left on base and have an OPS of .768. They have scored 4.93 runs per game and totaled 212 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Mets (-173)

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