New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 8/14/2020

Game: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Friday, August 14, 2020

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: SNY/NSPA

Odds/Point Spread: Mets (-170) Phillies (+157)

Citizens Bank Park is the venue where J.T. Realmuto and the Philadelphia Phillies (5-8, 5th in NL East) will play the New York Mets (8-11, 4th in NL East) on Friday. The Mets open this game at -170 while the Phillies are coming in at +157. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Jacob deGrom and Vince Velasquez.

Key New York Mets Injuries

8/13/2020 Jeff McNeil 3B Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 14
8/13/2020 Amed Rosario SS Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 14
8/12/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 17
8/12/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 17
8/10/2020 Jake Marisnick CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 14
8/9/2020 Michael Wacha SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 18

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

8/11/2020 Ranger Suarez RP Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 18
8/11/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
7/25/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 8-11 overall record this season. deGrom (68-49 career record) holds a FIP of 2.82 while he has faced 4,472 opposing batters in the majors. His earned run average is 2.62 (327 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.051. He has allowed 910 base hits (7.3 hits per 9 innings) with 271 free passes. deGrom has taken the ball for 1,123 innings and has accounted for 1,283 strikeouts in his MLB career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.00 and they have given up 67 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .209 against the bullpen and they've struck out 87 hitters and walked 31 batters. As a team, New York allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 5.14. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 171 base hits and 96 earned runs. They have allowed 29 home runs this season, ranking them 3rd in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 56 batters and struck out 181. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.26.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .257, good for 4th in the league. The Mets hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .345, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Pete Alonso is hitting .229 with an on-base percentage of .357. He has 16 hits this season in 70 at bats with 10 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .400 and an OPS+ of 115. J.D. Davis is hitting .300 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .394. He has totaled 18 hits and he has driven in 11 men in 60 at bats. His OPS+ is 144 while his slugging percentage is at .467. The Mets have 166 hits, including 27 doubles and 20 home runs. New York has walked 73 times so far this season and they have struck out 170 times as a unit. They have left 156 men on base and have a team OPS of .747. They score 4.32 runs per contest and have scored a total of 82 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 5-8 overall mark this year. Velasquez (27-34 mark in his career) holds a 4.69 ERA while giving up 8.8 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.80 and he has gone up against 2,274 batters during his career. In his MLB career, Velasquez has conceded 517 hits while earning 579 K's in 529 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 276 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.368 and having a FIP of 4.4. The bullpen has an earned run average of 9.63 and they have given up 63 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .332 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 38 batters and walked 12 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 10.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.7. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 126 base knocks and 69 earned runs this season. They have given up 23 home runs this year, which ranks 10th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 28 hitters and struck out 114 batters. They give up a walk 2.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.66.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .251, good for 8th in the league. The Phillies hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. J.T. Realmuto comes into this matchup batting .273 with an OBP of .347. He has 12 hits this year along with 13 RBI in 44 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .614 with an OPS+ of 158. Jean Segura is hitting .205 this season and he has an OBP of .354. He has collected 8 hits in 39 at bats while driving in 3 runs. He has an OPS+ of 98 and a slugging percentage of .359. The Phillies as a unit have 104 base hits, including 14 doubles and 20 homers. Philadelphia has walked 59 times this year and they have struck out on 90 occasions. They have had 93 men left on base and have an OPS of .790. They have scored 5.23 runs per game and totaled 68 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Mets and over 8.5 runs

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