New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/17/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Thursday, September 17, 2020

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: SNY/NSPA

Odds/Point Spread: Mets (+125) Phillies (-135)

Robinson Cano and the New York Mets (21-27, 4th in NL East) travel to Citizens Bank Park on Thursday where they'll take on the Philadelphia Phillies (24-23, 3rd in NL East). The Phillies open this game at -135 while the Mets are priced at +125. The O/U is set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Seth Lugo and Aaron Nola.

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/16/2020 Jake Marisnick CF Hamstring Probable for Sep 16
9/16/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/13/2020 Tomas Nido C Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/9/2020 Robert Gsellman SP Ribs Out for the season
9/9/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/9/2020 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/28/2020 Corey Oswalt RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

9/16/2020 Kyle Garlick RF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/16/2020 J.T C Hip Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/16/2020 Jay Bruce LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/15/2020 Jake Arrieta SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/14/2020 Rhys Hoskins 1B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/13/2020 Jose Alvarez RP Groin Out for the season
9/13/2020 Spencer Howard SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
8/29/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
7/25/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 21-27 overall record this season. Lugo (24-18 career mark) has a FIP of 3.48 while he has gone up against 1,530 opposing batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.23 (134 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.125. He has conceded 323 base knocks (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 97 walks. Lugo has taken the hill for 373 frames and has totaled 373 K's during his pro baseball career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.24 and they have given up 167 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .202 against the bullpen and they've struck out 200 hitters and walked 93 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.71. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 407 base hits and 216 earned runs. They have allowed 56 home runs this season, ranking them 22nd in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 161 batters and struck out 440. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.17.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .279, good for 1st in the league. The Mets hold a .462 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .354, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.5 hits per game. Robinson Cano is hitting .320 with an on-base percentage of .362. He has 41 hits this season in 128 at bats with 20 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .539 and an OPS+ of 145. Michael Conforto is hitting .341 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .427. He has totaled 61 hits and he has driven in 31 men in 179 at bats. His OPS+ is 170 while his slugging percentage is at .559. The Mets have 456 hits, including 88 doubles and 67 home runs. New York has walked 158 times so far this season and they have struck out 393 times as a unit. They have left 368 men on base and have a team OPS of .816. They score 4.94 runs per contest and have scored a total of 237 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 24-23 overall mark this year. Nola (58-38 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.42 earned run average and has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.64 and he has gone up against 3,394 opposing hitters thus far in his career. In his pro baseball career, Nola has given up 706 hits while earning 903 strikeouts in 827 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 314 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.153 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. The bullpen has an earned run average of 7.00 and they have given up 210 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .290 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 157 batters and walked 70 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 10.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 5.13. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 451 base knocks and 224 earned runs this season. They have given up 69 home runs this year, which ranks 6th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 140 hitters and struck out 414 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.51 while their FIP as a staff is 4.61.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .255, good for 10th in the league. The Phillies hold a .442 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Andrew McCutchen comes into this matchup batting .254 with an OBP of .317. He has 43 hits this year along with 29 RBI in 169 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .414 with an OPS+ of 94. Didi Gregorius is hitting .282 this season and he has an OBP of .343. He has collected 46 hits in 163 at bats while driving in 31 runs. He has an OPS+ of 120 and a slugging percentage of .491. The Phillies as a unit have 388 base hits, including 73 doubles and 66 homers. Philadelphia has walked 176 times this year and they have struck out on 356 occasions. They have had 315 men left on base and have an OPS of .781. They have scored 5.26 runs per game and totaled 247 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mets (+125)

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