New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/16/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Wednesday, September 16, 2020
Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA
TV: SNY/ESPN/NSPA
Odds/Point Spread: Mets (-135) Phillies (+125)
Citizens Bank Park is the site where Didi Gregorius and the Philadelphia Phillies (23-23, 3rd in NL East) will take on the New York Mets (21-26, 4th in NL East) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Mets coming in at -135 and the Phillies are at +125. The total opens at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Jacob deGrom and Aaron Nola.
Key New York Mets Injuries
9/14/2020 Jake Marisnick CF Hamstring Probable for Sep 15
9/13/2020 Tomas Nido C Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/13/2020 Jeff McNeil LF Illness Probable for Sep 15
9/9/2020 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/9/2020 Robert Gsellman SP Ribs Out for the season
9/9/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/1/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/28/2020 Corey Oswalt RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries
9/14/2020 Roman Quinn CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/14/2020 J.T C Hip Probable for Sep 15
9/14/2020 Rhys Hoskins 1B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/13/2020 Jose Alvarez RP Groin Out for the season
9/13/2020 Spencer Howard SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/13/2020 Zack Wheeler SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/6/2020 Jay Bruce LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
8/29/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
7/25/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Mets have a 21-26 overall record this season. deGrom (70-50 career mark) holds a FIP of 2.78 while he has gone up against 4,595 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 2.58 (331 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.045. He has given up 928 base knocks (7.2 hits per nine innings) with 279 walks. deGrom has taken the hill for 1,155 frames and is sitting with 1,334 strikeouts thus far in his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.28 and they have given up 167 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .204 against the bullpen and they've struck out 197 hitters and walked 93 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.72. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 401 base hits and 212 earned runs. They have allowed 55 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 159 batters and struck out 432. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.18.
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Hitting Statistics
As a team New York is hitting .278, good for 1st in the league. The Mets hold a .463 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .354, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.5 hits per game. Michael Conforto is hitting .343 with an on-base percentage of .428. He has 60 hits this season in 175 at bats with 31 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .566 and an OPS+ of 172. Robinson Cano is hitting .320 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .358. He has totaled 40 hits and he has driven in 20 men in 125 at bats. His OPS+ is 144 while his slugging percentage is at .544. The Mets have 445 hits, including 88 doubles and 66 home runs. New York has walked 156 times so far this season and they have struck out 385 times as a unit. They have left 356 men on base and have a team OPS of .817. They score 5.02 runs per contest and have scored a total of 236 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Nola (58-38 career mark) has earned a 3.42 ERA while allowing 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has a SO/W ratio of 3.64 and he has gone up against 3,394 opposing hitters so far in his career. So far in his career, Nola has allowed 706 base knocks while he has tallied 903 punchouts in 827 innings pitched. He has surrendered 314 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.153 and a FIP of 3.5. The bullpen has an earned run average of 7.18 and they have given up 207 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .291 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 153 batters and walked 69 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 10.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.23. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 440 base knocks and 223 earned runs this season. They have given up 68 home runs this year, which ranks 6th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 138 hitters and struck out 406 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.51 while their FIP as a staff is 4.62.
Hitting Statistics
As a team, they are batting .256, good for 10th in the league. The Phillies hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Didi Gregorius comes into this matchup batting .277 with an OBP of .339. He has 44 hits this year along with 29 RBI in 159 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .472 with an OPS+ of 114. Andrew McCutchen is hitting .261 this season and he has an OBP of .324. He has collected 43 hits in 165 at bats while driving in 29 runs. He has an OPS+ of 99 and a slugging percentage of .424. The Phillies as a unit have 382 base hits, including 72 doubles and 65 homers. Philadelphia has walked 174 times this year and they have struck out on 348 occasions. They have had 311 men left on base and have an OPS of .785. They have scored 5.28 runs per game and totaled 243 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Mets/Phillies MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies (+125)
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Additional Resources:
Philadelphia Phillies - Twitter
New York Mets - Twitter