New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/15/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Tuesday, September 15, 2020

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: SNY/NSPA

Odds/Point Spread: Mets (-101) Phillies (-109)

Andrew McCutchen and the Philadelphia Phillies (23-22, 3rd in NL East) host the New York Mets (21-26, 4th in NL East) at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday. The odds on this matchup have the Mets coming in at -101 and the Phillies are at -109. The over/under has been set at 10. The expected starting pitchers are Rick Porcello and Jake Arrieta.

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/13/2020 Tomas Nido C Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/13/2020 Jeff McNeil LF Illness Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/13/2020 Jake Marisnick CF Hamstring Probable for Sep 14
9/9/2020 Robert Gsellman SP Ribs Out for the season
9/9/2020 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/9/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/1/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/28/2020 Corey Oswalt RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

9/13/2020 Roman Quinn CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/13/2020 Jose Alvarez RP Groin Out for the season
9/13/2020 J.T C Hip Probable for Sep 14
9/13/2020 Spencer Howard SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/13/2020 Rhys Hoskins 1B Forearm Probable for Sep 14
9/13/2020 Zack Wheeler SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/11/2020 Scott Kingery 2B Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
9/6/2020 Jay Bruce LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
8/29/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
7/25/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 21-26 overall record this season. Porcello has taken the ball for 2,080 innings and is sitting with 1,543 punchouts during his career. His ERA is 4.40 (1,017 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.316. He has surrendered 2,253 base hits (9.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 484 free passes. Porcello (150-122 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.14 and he has gone up against 8,841 opposing batters in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.28 and they have given up 167 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .204 against the bullpen and they've struck out 197 hitters and walked 93 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.72. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 401 base hits and 212 earned runs. They have allowed 55 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 159 batters and struck out 432. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.19.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .278, good for 1st in the league. The Mets hold a .463 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .354, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.5 hits per game. Robinson Cano is hitting .320 with an on-base percentage of .358. He has 40 hits this season in 125 at bats with 20 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .544 and an OPS+ of 144. Michael Conforto is hitting .343 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .428. He has totaled 60 hits and he has driven in 31 men in 175 at bats. His OPS+ is 171 while his slugging percentage is at .566. The Mets have 445 hits, including 88 doubles and 66 home runs. New York has walked 156 times so far this season and they have struck out 385 times as a unit. They have left 356 men on base and have a team OPS of .817. They score 5.02 runs per contest and have scored a total of 236 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

So far in his MLB career, Arrieta has conceded 1,311 hits while he has earned 1,346 punchouts in 1,509 frames. He has conceded a total of 631 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.218 and a FIP of 3.9. He has a SO/W ratio of 2.56 and he has faced 6,260 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. Arrieta (109-79 career mark) has a 3.76 ERA while giving up 7.8 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 7.27 and they have given up 205 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .295 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 146 batters and walked 68 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 10.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.2. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 431 base knocks and 217 earned runs this season. They have given up 66 home runs this year, which ranks 5th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 136 hitters and struck out 394 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.51 while their FIP as a staff is 4.63.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .259, good for 8th in the league. The Phillies hold a .446 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .345, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Andrew McCutchen comes into this matchup batting .261 with an OBP of .326. He has 42 hits this year along with 28 RBI in 161 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .410 with an OPS+ of 95. Didi Gregorius is hitting .284 this season and he has an OBP of .347. He has collected 44 hits in 155 at bats while driving in 29 runs. He has an OPS+ of 119 and a slugging percentage of .484. The Phillies as a unit have 378 base hits, including 71 doubles and 63 homers. Philadelphia has walked 174 times this year and they have struck out on 340 occasions. They have had 309 men left on base and have an OPS of .791. They have scored 5.36 runs per game and totaled 241 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies (-109)

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