New York Mets vs New York Yankees Prediction, 8/28/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs New York Yankees

Date: Friday, August 28, 2020

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES/SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Mets (+208) Yankees (-230)

Yankee Stadium is the venue where Gio Urshela and the New York Yankees (16-11, 2nd in AL East) will play the New York Mets (13-16, 4th in NL East) on Friday. The Yankees open this matchup at -230 while the Mets are coming in at +208. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Robert Gsellman and J.A. Happ.

Key New York Mets Injuries

8/27/2020 Michael Wacha SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
8/26/2020 Edwin Diaz RP Leg Probable for Aug 27
8/25/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/25/2020 Tomas Nido C Illness Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/25/2020 Andres Gimenez 2B Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
8/25/2020 Jake Marisnick CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/18/2020 David Peterson SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 29
8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
8/13/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Yankees Injuries

8/26/2020 Luis Avilan RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/26/2020 Aaron Judge RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/26/2020 DJ LeMahieu 2B Thumb Expected to be out until at least Aug 31
8/23/2020 James Paxton SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 12
8/22/2020 Gleyber Torres SS Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/20/2020 Kyle Higashioka C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/20/2020 Zack Britton RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/17/2020 Giancarlo Stanton DH Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/6/2020 Tommy Kahnle RP Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2020 Luis Severino SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 13-16 overall record this season. Gsellman (20-15 career mark) has a FIP of 4.22 and he has faced 1,381 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.50 (156 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.403. He has given up 328 base hits (9.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 110 free passes. Gsellman has thrown 312 innings and has tallied 258 K's during his pro baseball career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.67 and they have given up 105 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .216 against the bullpen and they've struck out 124 hitters and walked 49 batters. As a team, New York allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.85. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 251 base hits and 135 earned runs. They have allowed 34 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 85 batters and struck out 272. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 3.93.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .266, good for 2nd in the league. The Mets hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .356, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Jeff McNeil is hitting .267 with an on-base percentage of .341. He has 20 hits this season in 75 at bats with 8 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .320 and an OPS+ of 88. Pete Alonso is hitting .225 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .358. He has totaled 23 hits and he has driven in 13 men in 102 at bats. His OPS+ is 113 while his slugging percentage is at .402. The Mets have 259 hits, including 46 doubles and 36 home runs. New York has walked 115 times so far this season and they have struck out 239 times as a unit. They have left 239 men on base and have a team OPS of .791. They score 4.41 runs per contest and have scored a total of 128 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 16-11 overall mark this year. So far in his career, Happ has given up 1,618 base knocks and he has 1,503 K's in 1,704 innings pitched. He has given up 760 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.310 and a FIP of 4.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.44 and he has faced 7,237 batters during his pro baseball career. Happ (122-91 career mark) holds a 4.01 earned run average and has allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.96 and they have given up 81 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .194 against the Yankees bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 106 batters and walked 40 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.32. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 190 base knocks and 106 earned runs this season. They have given up 36 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 78 hitters and struck out 232 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 4.36.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .249, good for 12th in the league. The Yankees hold a .462 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 7.7 hits per contest. Gio Urshela comes into this matchup batting .241 with an OBP of .323. He has 20 hits this year along with 18 RBI in 83 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .482 with an OPS+ of 119. Aaron Judge is hitting .292 this season and he has an OBP of .343. He has collected 19 hits in 65 at bats while driving in 20 runs. He has an OPS+ of 188 and a slugging percentage of .738. The Yankees as a unit have 209 base hits, including 37 doubles and 46 homers. New York has walked 97 times this year and they have struck out on 218 occasions. They have had 172 men left on base and have an OPS of .799. They have scored 5.07 runs per game and totaled 137 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Yankees MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Mets (+208)

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