New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 8/18/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Date: Tuesday, August 18, 2020

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: FSFL/SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Mets (-155) Marlins (+135)

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets (9-14, 5th in NL East) head to Marlins Park on Tuesday where they'll take on the Miami Marlins (9-6, 1st in NL East). The Marlins open this matchup at +135 while the Mets are coming in at -155. The total opens at 9.5. The expected starting pitchers are David Peterson and Humberto Mejia.

Key New York Mets Injuries

8/16/2020 Michael Wacha SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/16/2020 Jake Marisnick CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 17
8/16/2020 Jeff McNeil 3B Knee Probable for Aug 17
8/14/2020 Jacob deGrom SP Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 19
8/13/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
8/12/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 17
8/12/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 17
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

8/16/2020 Garrett Cooper 1B Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/16/2020 Caleb Smith SP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
8/15/2020 Sandy Alcantara SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
8/14/2020 Harold Ramirez RF Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 17
8/14/2020 Ryne Stanek RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
8/14/2020 Jose Urena SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/14/2020 Alex Vesia RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
8/14/2020 Sean Rodriguez 3B Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
8/14/2020 Nick Neidert RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 21

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 9-14 overall record this season. Peterson has taken the ball for 21 innings and has totaled 17 strikeouts so far this year. His ERA is 2.97 (7 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.179. He has surrendered 17 base hits (7.2 hits per 9 innings) with 8 walks. Peterson (3-1 win-loss marm) holds a FIP of 4.10 while going up against 88 batters in the majors. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.62 and they have given up 81 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .215 against the bullpen and they've struck out 97 hitters and walked 35 batters. As a team, New York allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 5.1. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 208 base hits and 114 earned runs. They have allowed 33 home runs this season, ranking them 4th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 67 batters and struck out 210. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.30.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .262, good for 4th in the league. The Mets hold a .412 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Pete Alonso is hitting .214 with an on-base percentage of .327. He has 18 hits this season in 84 at bats with 11 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .357 and an OPS+ of 94. Brandon Nimmo is hitting .230 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .418. He has totaled 17 hits and he has driven in 6 men in 74 at bats. His OPS+ is 132 while his slugging percentage is at .392. The Mets have 204 hits, including 33 doubles and 26 home runs. New York has walked 86 times so far this season and they have struck out 202 times as a unit. They have left 185 men on base and have a team OPS of .758. They score 4.3 runs per contest and have scored a total of 99 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 9-6 overall mark this year. Mejia (0-0 record) is the owner of a 4.29 earned run average and has given up 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.00 and he has gone up against 11 batters. Thus far in his career, Mejia has surrendered 2 hits while he has tallied 6 punchouts in 2 innings pitched. He has allowed 1 earned run while earning a WHIP of 1.905 and having a FIP of 6.5. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.10 and they have given up 56 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .204 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 51 batters and walked 30 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.9. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 114 base knocks and 56 earned runs this season. They have given up 25 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 53 hitters and struck out 123 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 5.12.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .229, good for 22nd in the league. The Marlins hold a .376 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 7.3 hits per contest. Jesus Aguilar comes into this matchup batting .286 with an OBP of .317. He has 16 hits this year along with 15 RBI in 56 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .536 with an OPS+ of 130. Miguel Rojas is hitting .700 this season and he has an OBP of .750. He has collected 7 hits in 10 at bats while driving in 5 runs. He has an OPS+ of 452 and a slugging percentage of 1.300. The Marlins as a unit have 110 base hits, including 17 doubles and 16 homers. Miami has walked 55 times this year and they have struck out on 136 occasions. They have had 88 men left on base and have an OPS of .686. They have scored 4.6 runs per game and totaled 69 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins (+135)

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