New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 7/27/2020

Game: New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Monday, July 27, 2020

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN/SNY/ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Mets (+115) Red Sox (-135)

Fenway Park is the site of the matchup between the New York Mets and the Boston Red Sox on Monday. The probable starting pitchers are Michael Wacha for the Mets and Phillips Valdez for the Red Sox.

New York opens at +115 while Boston opens at -135. The Mets had a 76-70-16 over/under record and a 86-76-0 run line mark last year. The Red Sox were 84-78-0 against the run line and had a 90-67-5 over/under record.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets were 76-70-16 against the over/under last season

The New York Mets were 86-76-0 against the run line last year

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox were 90-67-5 against the over/under last season

The Boston Red Sox were 84-78-0 against the run line last year

Key New York Mets Injuries

7/25/2020 Brad Brach RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/22/2020 Marcus Stroman SP Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/22/2020 Robert Gsellman RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
7/20/2020 Walker Lockett RP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/20/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/15/2020 Jared Hughes RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

7/23/2020 Eduardo Rodriguez SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
7/20/2020 Darwinzon Hernandez RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/20/2020 Josh Taylor RP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/19/2020 Collin McHugh SP Opt Out Out for the season
7/7/2020 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
6/28/2020 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets had a 86-76 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Michael Wacha had a 6-7 record with an earned run average of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.56. He had 104 strikeouts over his 126.2 innings pitched and he gave up 143 hits. He allowed 10.2 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 5.61. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.99 and they gave up 517 base hits on the year. Teams hit .255 against the bullpen and they struck out 556 hitters while walking 227 batters. As a team, New York allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They were 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Mets pitchers collectively gave up 1,405 base hits and 688 earned runs last year. They allowed 204 home runs last season, ranking them 22nd in the league. New York as a pitching staff walked 500 batters and struck out 1,520. They walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit was 4.10.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York hit .257, good for 10th in the league. The Mets held a .442 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which was good for 10th in baseball. They ranked 9th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Jeff McNeil hit .318 with an on-base percentage of .384 last year. He had 162 hits last season in 510 at bats with 75 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .531 and an OPS+ of 144. Robinson Cano hit .256 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .307. He totaled 100 hits and he drove in 39 men in 390 at bats. His OPS+ was 96 while his slugging percentage was at .428. The Mets had 1,445 hits last season, including 280 doubles and 242 home runs. New York walked 516 times last year and they struck out 1,384 times as a unit. They left 1,128 men on base and had a team OPS of .770. They scored 4.88 runs per contest and scored a total of 791 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston had a 84-78 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 3.94, Phillips Valdez had a 0-0 record and a 1.63 WHIP. He had 18 strikeouts over the 16 innings he pitched. He also gave up 17 hits. He allowed 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 5.46. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.40 and they gave up 599 base hits on the year. Teams hit .235 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers struck out 776 batters and walked 324 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They were 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.7. The Red Sox pitchers as a team surrendered 1,423 base knocks and 768 earned runs last season. They gave up 215 home runs last year, which ranked 18th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff walked 605 hitters and struck out 1,633 batters. They gave up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they struck out 10 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.38 while their FIP as a staff was 4.28.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .269, good for 3rd in the league. The Red Sox held a .466 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which was good for 3rd in baseball. They ranked 1st in MLB with 9.6 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup after batting .309 with an OBP of .384 last season. He had 190 hits last year along with 117 RBI in 614 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .555 with an OPS+ of 140. Mitch Moreland hit .252 last season and he had an OBP of .328. He collected 75 hits in 298 at bats while driving in 58 runs. He had an OPS+ of 112 and a slugging percentage of .507. The Red Sox as a unit had 1,554 base hits last season, including 345 doubles and 245 homers. Boston walked 590 times last year and they struck out on 1,382 occasions. They left 1,170 men on base and had an OPS of .806. They scored 5.56 runs per game and totaled 901 runs last year.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox (-135)

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