New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 9/2/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Wednesday, September 2, 2020

Location: Oriole Park in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN/SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Mets (-130) Orioles (+110)

Michael Conforto and the New York Mets (15-20, 4th in NL East) head to Oriole Park on Wednesday where they'll take on the Baltimore Orioles (15-19, 4th in AL East). The Orioles open this matchup at +110 while the Mets are coming in at -130. The O/U has been set at 9.5. The starting pitchers are Michael Wacha and John Means.

Key New York Mets Injuries

8/31/2020 J.D 3B Hip Probable for Sep 1
8/31/2020 Miguel Castro RP Illness Probable for Sep 1
8/30/2020 Steven Matz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/30/2020 Eduardo Nunez RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/30/2020 Dellin Betances RP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/28/2020 Corey Oswalt RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
8/25/2020 Tomas Nido C Illness Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/17/2020 Rene Rivera C Elbow Out for the season
8/13/2020 Jed Lowrie 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 14
6/28/2020 Noah Syndergaard SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

8/31/2020 Chris Davis 1B Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
8/29/2020 Shawn Armstrong RP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
8/25/2020 Austin Hays CF Ribs Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
8/25/2020 Wade LeBlanc SP Elbow Out for the season
8/9/2020 Kohl Stewart SP Opt Out Out for the season
7/14/2020 Richie Martin SS Wrist Out for the season
6/28/2020 Trey Mancini RF Abdomen Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 15-20 overall record this season. Wacha (60-41 career record) has a FIP of 4.02 and he has faced 3,774 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.98 (391 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.335. He has conceded 873 hits (8.9 hits per 9 innings) with 307 walks. Wacha has taken the mound for 884 innings and has earned 784 K's thus far in his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.33 and they have given up 117 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .201 against the bullpen and they've struck out 147 hitters and walked 66 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.6. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 291 base hits and 152 earned runs. They have allowed 41 home runs this season, ranking them 22nd in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 112 batters and struck out 327. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.02.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .264, good for 4th in the league. The Mets hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .348, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Michael Conforto is hitting .317 with an on-base percentage of .421. He has 39 hits this season in 123 at bats with 17 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .496 and an OPS+ of 155. Pete Alonso is hitting .213 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .333. He has totaled 26 hits and he has driven in 18 men in 122 at bats. His OPS+ is 100 while his slugging percentage is at .385. The Mets have 304 hits, including 55 doubles and 43 home runs. New York has walked 126 times so far this season and they have struck out 286 times as a unit. They have left 270 men on base and have a team OPS of .780. They score 4.31 runs per contest and have scored a total of 151 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Means (12-13 career record) has earned a 4.21 earned run average while giving up 8.3 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.32 and he has gone up against 718 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. So far in his pro baseball career, Means has given up 160 hits while he has totaled 136 K's in 173 innings. He has conceded 81 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.162 and a FIP of 4.7. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.95 and they have given up 126 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .187 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 168 batters and walked 72 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.6. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 279 base knocks and 155 earned runs this season. They have given up 46 home runs this year, which ranks 9th in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 114 hitters and struck out 284 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.56.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .259, good for 8th in the league. The Orioles hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Anthony Santander comes into this matchup batting .271 with an OBP of .320. He has 38 hits this year along with 29 RBI in 140 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .593 with an OPS+ of 141. Chance Sisco is hitting .241 this season and he has an OBP of .397. He has collected 14 hits in 58 at bats while driving in 9 runs. He has an OPS+ of 143 and a slugging percentage of .500. The Orioles as a unit have 303 base hits, including 66 doubles and 45 homers. Baltimore has walked 100 times this year and they have struck out on 297 occasions. They have had 228 men left on base and have an OPS of .756. They have scored 4.62 runs per game and totaled 157 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mets (-130)

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