Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 8/28/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Friday, August 28, 2020

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: FSN/FSDT

Odds/Point Spread: Twins (-140) Tigers (+130)

Eddie Rosario and the Minnesota Twins (20-12, 1st in AL Central) travel to Comerica Park on Friday where they'll take on the Detroit Tigers (13-16, 4th in AL Central). The Twins open this contest at -140 while the Tigers are priced at +130. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Randy Dobnak and Tarik Skubal.

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

8/26/2020 Max Kepler RF Foot Probable for Aug 27
8/26/2020 Mitch Garver C Side Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
8/25/2020 Josh Donaldson 3B Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 31
8/22/2020 Homer Bailey SP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
8/22/2020 Zack Littell RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/22/2020 Jake Odorizzi SP Abdomen Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/20/2020 Byron Buxton CF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 31
8/19/2020 Cody Stashak RP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 27

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

8/27/2020 Alex Faedo SP Forearm Out for the season
8/25/2020 Ivan Nova SP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/19/2020 Dario Agrazal SP Forearm Out for the season
8/19/2020 C.J 1B Knee Out for the season
8/19/2020 Harold Castro 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 29
8/7/2020 Troy Stokes LF Hand Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
7/18/2020 Jordan Zimmermann SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 4

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 20-12 overall record this season. Dobnak (7-2 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.53 while going up against 237 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 1.70 (11 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.082. He has allowed 51 base knocks (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 12 free passes. Dobnak has taken the mound for 58 frames and has earned 39 punchouts in his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.67 and they have given up 121 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the bullpen and they've struck out 151 hitters and walked 45 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.56. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 239 base hits and 110 earned runs. They have allowed 40 home runs this season, ranking them 10th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 94 batters and struck out 280. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.20 and their FIP as a unit is 4.13.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .245, good for 14th in the league. The Twins hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Eddie Rosario is hitting .241 with an on-base percentage of .307. He has 28 hits this season in 116 at bats with 23 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .457 and an OPS+ of 108. Jorge Polanco is hitting .275 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .315. He has totaled 33 hits and he has driven in 14 men in 120 at bats. His OPS+ is 89 while his slugging percentage is at .367. The Twins have 257 hits, including 41 doubles and 45 home runs. Minnesota has walked 109 times so far this season and they have struck out 281 times as a unit. They have left 209 men on base and have a team OPS of .736. They score 4.62 runs per contest and have scored a total of 148 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Detroit has a 13-16 overall mark this year. Skubal has given up 10 hits and he has 6 punchouts in 4 innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 5 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 2.927 and a FIP of 8.8. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.00 and he has faced 25 batters so far. Skubal (0-1 record) has earned a 10.98 earned run average while giving up 22.0 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.68 and they have given up 126 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .216 against the Tigers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 119 batters and walked 39 opposing hitters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.83. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 266 base knocks and 164 earned runs this season. They have given up 48 home runs this year, which ranks 3rd in Major League Baseball. Detroit as a staff has walked 95 hitters and struck out 220 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 5.24.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .244, good for 16th in the league. The Tigers hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Miguel Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .219 with an OBP of .317. He has 23 hits this year along with 15 RBI in 105 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .343 with an OPS+ of 80. Jonathan Schoop is hitting .300 this season and he has an OBP of .331. He has collected 33 hits in 110 at bats while driving in 17 runs. He has an OPS+ of 126 and a slugging percentage of .518. The Tigers as a unit have 236 base hits, including 49 doubles and 39 homers. Detroit has walked 76 times this year and they have struck out on 293 occasions. They have had 170 men left on base and have an OPS of .730. They have scored 4.72 runs per game and totaled 137 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Tigers MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Twins (-140)

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