Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 7/28/2020

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2020

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: ATPT/FSWI

Odds/Point Spread: Brewers (-145) Pirates (+125)

The Milwaukee Brewers head to PNC Park on Tuesday to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates. The expected starting pitchers are Josh Lindblom for the Brewers and Derek Holland for the Pirates.

The odds for this matchup have Milwaukee at -145 and Pittsburgh at +125. The Brewers had a 69-88-6 over/under mark and a 89-74-0 run line record last year. The Pirates were 69-93-0 against the run line and had a 93-63-6 over/under record.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers were 69-88-6 against the over/under last year

The Milwaukee Brewers were 89-74-0 against the run line last season

Important Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates were 93-63-6 against the over/under last year

The Pittsburgh Pirates were 69-93-0 against the run line last season

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

7/25/2020 Luis Urias 2B Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
7/23/2020 Angel Perdomo RP Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/23/2020 Tristen Lutz LF Groin Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/21/2020 Ray Black RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/20/2020 Brett Anderson SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/20/2020 Eric Lauer SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Jul 27

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

7/26/2020 Keone Kela RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/25/2020 Gregory Polanco RF Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/23/2020 JT Riddle SS Abdomen Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/23/2020 Luke Maile C Finger Out for the season
6/30/2020 Chris Archer SP Shoulder Out for the season
6/30/2020 Kevin Kramer RF Hip Out for the season
2/13/2020 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers had a 89-73 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Josh Lindblom had a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.00. He had 0 strikeouts over his 0 innings pitched and he gave up 0 hits. He allowed 0 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 0. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.40 and they gave up 590 base hits on the year. Teams hit .232 against the bullpen and they struck out 761 hitters while walking 287 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They were 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.4. The Brewers pitchers collectively gave up 1,364 base hits and 713 earned runs last year. They allowed 225 home runs last season, ranking them 15th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff walked 570 batters and struck out 1,497. They walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit was 4.46.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee hit .246, good for 22nd in the league. The Brewers held a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which was good for 9th in baseball. They ranked 20th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Eric Sogard hit .290 with an on-base percentage of .353 last year. He had 115 hits last season in 396 at bats with 40 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .457 and an OPS+ of 116. Justin Smoak hit .208 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .342. He totaled 86 hits and he drove in 61 men in 414 at bats. His OPS+ was 101 while his slugging percentage was at .406. The Brewers had 1,366 hits last season, including 279 doubles and 250 home runs. Milwaukee walked 629 times last year and they struck out 1,563 times as a unit. They left 1,180 men on base and had a team OPS of .767. They scored 4.75 runs per contest and scored a total of 769 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Pittsburgh had a 69-93 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 6.08, Derek Holland had a 2-5 record and a 1.51 WHIP. He had 82 strikeouts over the 84.1 innings he pitched. He also gave up 82 hits. He allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 6.1. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.91 and they gave up 619 base hits on the year. Teams hit .253 against the Pirates bullpen. Their relievers struck out 687 batters and walked 304 opposing hitters. As a team, Pittsburgh allowed 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They were 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.18. The Pirates pitchers as a team surrendered 1,511 base knocks and 829 earned runs last season. They gave up 241 home runs last year, which ranked 9th in Major League Baseball. Pittsburgh as a staff walked 584 hitters and struck out 1,443 batters. They gave up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they struck out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.46 while their FIP as a staff was 4.78.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .265, good for 6th in the league. The Pirates held a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321, which was good for 18th in baseball. They ranked 5th in MLB with 9.2 hits per contest. Colin Moran comes into this matchup after batting .277 with an OBP of .322 last season. He had 129 hits last year along with 80 RBI in 466 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .429 with an OPS+ of 97. Kevin Newman hit .308 last season and he had an OBP of .353. He collected 152 hits in 493 at bats while driving in 64 runs. He had an OPS+ of 111 and a slugging percentage of .446. The Pirates as a unit had 1,497 base hits last season, including 315 doubles and 163 homers. Pittsburgh walked 425 times last year and they struck out on 1,213 occasions. They left 1,103 men on base and had an OPS of .741. They scored 4.68 runs per game and totaled 758 runs last year.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Pirates MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Pirates (+125)

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