Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 10/1/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Thursday, October 1, 2020

Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Brewers (+200) Dodgers (-241)

Corey Seager and the Los Angeles Dodgers (43-17, 1st in NL West) host the Milwaukee Brewers (29-31, 4th in NL Central) at Dodger Stadium on Thursday. The Brewers open this contest at +200 while the Dodgers are coming in at -241. The total opens at 7.5. The starting pitchers will be Brandon Woodruff and Clayton Kershaw.

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

9/28/2020 Brett Anderson SP Finger Out for the season
9/27/2020 Daniel Vogelbach DH Hamstring Out for the season
9/27/2020 Ben Gamel RF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 30
9/25/2020 Corbin Burnes SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Oct 19
9/1/2020 Manny Pina C Knee Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021

Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries

9/27/2020 Mookie Betts RF Hip Out for the season
9/27/2020 Zach Reks LF Undisclosed Out for the season
9/20/2020 Edwin Uceta RP Suspension Suspended until Oct 1
9/17/2020 Caleb Ferguson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2022
7/21/2020 Jimmy Nelson SP Back Expected to be out until at least Feb 1, 2021

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 29-31 overall record this season. Woodruff has taken the hill for 280 innings and is sitting with 313 K's during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.66 (114 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.138. He has surrendered 243 base hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 76 free passes. Woodruff (19-11 career mark) has a FIP of 3.32 while he has faced 1,146 opposing batters in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.17 and they have given up 183 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .189 against the bullpen and they've struck out 304 hitters and walked 97 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.7 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.16. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 446 base hits and 239 earned runs. They have allowed 67 home runs this season, ranking them 28th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 189 batters and struck out 614. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 3.80.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .223, good for 26th in the league. The Brewers hold a .389 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 7.2 hits per game. Ryan Braun is hitting .233 with an on-base percentage of .281. He has 30 hits this season in 129 at bats with 26 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .488 and an OPS+ of 101. Christian Yelich is hitting .205 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .356. He has totaled 41 hits and he has driven in 22 men in 200 at bats. His OPS+ is 111 while his slugging percentage is at .430. The Brewers have 429 hits, including 83 doubles and 75 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 221 times so far this season and they have struck out 582 times as a unit. They have left 384 men on base and have a team OPS of .702. They score 4.12 runs per contest and have scored a total of 247 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

During his MLB career, Kershaw has allowed 1,756 hits while he has tallied 2,526 punchouts in 2,332 frames. He has given up a total of 631 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.004 and a FIP of 2.8. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.32 and he has faced 9,179 opposing hitters thus far in his career. Kershaw (175-76 mark in his career) has a 2.43 earned run average and has surrendered 6.8 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.74 and they have given up 199 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .188 against the Dodgers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 258 batters and walked 75 opposing hitters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 7.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.02. The Dodgers pitchers as a team have surrendered 424 base knocks and 181 earned runs this season. They have given up 66 home runs this year, which ranks 29th in Major League Baseball. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 145 hitters and struck out 517 batters. They give up a walk 2.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.06 while their FIP as a staff is 3.79.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .256, good for 11th in the league. The Dodgers hold a .483 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Corey Seager comes into this matchup batting .307 with an OBP of .358. He has 65 hits this year along with 41 RBI in 212 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .585 with an OPS+ of 152. AJ Pollock is hitting .276 this season and he has an OBP of .314. He has collected 54 hits in 196 at bats while driving in 34 runs. He has an OPS+ of 134 and a slugging percentage of .566. The Dodgers as a unit have 523 base hits, including 97 doubles and 118 homers. Los Angeles has walked 228 times this year and they have struck out on 471 occasions. They have had 391 men left on base and have an OPS of .821. They have scored 5.82 runs per game and totaled 349 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Dodgers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers (+200)

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