Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 8/21/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals

Date: Friday, August 21, 2020

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MAS2/FSFL

Odds/Point Spread: Marlins (+196) Nationals (-215)

Francisco Cervelli and the Miami Marlins (9-9, 2nd in NL East) head to Nationals Park on Friday where they'll take on the Washington Nationals (9-12, 5th in NL East). The Marlins open this game at +196 while the Nationals are priced at -215. The over/under is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Elieser Hernandez and Patrick Corbin.

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

8/20/2020 Pat Venditte RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 29
8/19/2020 Brian Moran RP Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/19/2020 Sandy Alcantara SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/18/2020 Harold Ramirez RF Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/18/2020 Jose Urena SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/18/2020 Yimi Garcia RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/18/2020 Mike Morin RP Elbow Out for the season
8/18/2020 Robert Dugger SP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/18/2020 Caleb Smith SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Aug 25

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

8/19/2020 Howie Kendrick DH Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
8/19/2020 Sean Doolittle RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/18/2020 Starlin Castro 2B Wrist Out for the season
8/18/2020 Sam Freeman RP Elbow Out for the season
8/15/2020 Stephen Strasburg SP Hand Expected to be out until at least Aug 25
8/13/2020 Roenis Elias RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
6/29/2020 Adrian Sanchez 3B Achilles Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 9-9 overall record this season. Hernandez has taken the ball for 162 innings and has accumulated 149 punchouts in his MLB career. His ERA is 4.83 (87 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.282. He has conceded 153 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has 55 free passes. Hernandez (5-12 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 5.19 while going up against 694 batters in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.13 and they have given up 76 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the bullpen and they've struck out 66 hitters and walked 41 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.61. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 148 base hits and 80 earned runs. They have allowed 33 home runs this season, ranking them 10th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 70 batters and struck out 145. They have walked 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 5.59.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .235, good for 19th in the league. The Marlins hold a .369 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 7.7 hits per game. Francisco Cervelli is hitting .250 with an on-base percentage of .368. He has 12 hits this season in 48 at bats with 7 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .479 and an OPS+ of 133. Jonathan Villar is hitting .233 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .296. He has totaled 17 hits and he has driven in 7 men in 73 at bats. His OPS+ is 80 while his slugging percentage is at .356. The Marlins have 139 hits, including 22 doubles and 17 home runs. Miami has walked 65 times so far this season and they have struck out 169 times as a unit. They have left 120 men on base and have a team OPS of .685. They score 4.39 runs per contest and have scored a total of 79 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Washington has a 9-12 overall mark this year. Corbin (72-62 career win-loss record) has a 3.80 earned run average and has conceded 8.7 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.35 and he has gone up against 4,929 hitters during his MLB career. So far in his career, Corbin has surrendered 1,136 base hits while he has totaled 1,157 strikeouts in 1,170 innings. He has allowed a total of 494 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.266 and having a FIP of 3.7. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.13 and they have given up 76 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .205 against the Nationals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 87 batters and walked 39 opposing hitters. As a team, Washington allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.72. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 190 base knocks and 96 earned runs this season. They have given up 33 home runs this year, which ranks 11th in Major League Baseball. Washington as a staff has walked 73 hitters and struck out 179 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 4.83.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .263, good for 3rd in the league. The Nationals hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .280 with an OBP of .345. He has 21 hits this year along with 16 RBI in 75 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .573 with an OPS+ of 140. Victor Robles is hitting .267 this season and he has an OBP of .371. He has collected 16 hits in 60 at bats while driving in 7 runs. He has an OPS+ of 100 and a slugging percentage of .367. The Nationals as a unit have 186 base hits, including 33 doubles and 27 homers. Washington has walked 60 times this year and they have struck out on 161 occasions. They have had 137 men left on base and have an OPS of .765. They have scored 4.71 runs per game and totaled 99 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Nationals MLB game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Marlins (+196) and under 9 runs

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