Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 9/5/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Saturday, September 5, 2020

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: FSFL/SUN

Odds/Point Spread: Marlins (+212) Rays (-235)

Tropicana Field is the site where Willy Adames and the Tampa Bay Rays (26-12, 1st in AL East) will play the Miami Marlins (16-16, 3rd in NL East) on Saturday. The odds on this contest have the Marlins priced at +212 and the Rays are at -235. The total has been set at 7. The expected starting pitchers will be Sandy Alcantara and Blake Snell.

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

9/4/2020 Jeff Brigham RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/4/2020 Caleb Smith SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
9/4/2020 Magneuris Sierra CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 7
9/4/2020 Sean Rodriguez 3B Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/2/2020 Elieser Hernandez SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/2/2020 Nick Neidert RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/2/2020 Miguel Rojas SS Abdomen Probable for Sep 4
9/2/2020 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 7
9/2/2020 Harold Ramirez RF Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
9/2/2020 Pat Venditte RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
9/1/2020 Jose Urena SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 7

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

9/4/2020 Brett Phillips CF Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
9/2/2020 Oliver Drake RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 7
8/31/2020 Yandy Diaz 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/31/2020 Jose Alvarado RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/29/2020 Ryan Yarbrough SP Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/29/2020 Chaz Roe RP Elbow Out for the season
8/29/2020 Mike Zunino C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/29/2020 Jalen Beeks RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 16-16 overall record this season. Alcantara (9-18 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.71 while he has faced 1,069 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.89 (108 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.343. He has given up 222 base knocks (8.0 hits per 9 innings) with 114 walks. Alcantara has thrown 250 innings and has racked up 200 punchouts in his MLB career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.63 and they have given up 121 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the bullpen and they've struck out 93 hitters and walked 65 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 261 base hits and 126 earned runs. They have allowed 46 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 116 batters and struck out 233. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 5.07.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .235, good for 21st in the league. The Marlins hold a .367 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 7.5 hits per game. Starling Marte is hitting .315 with an on-base percentage of .384. He has 41 hits this season in 130 at bats with 15 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .462 and an OPS+ of 126. Jesus Aguilar is hitting .271 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .311. He has totaled 26 hits and he has driven in 20 men in 96 at bats. His OPS+ is 105 while his slugging percentage is at .448. The Marlins have 241 hits, including 43 doubles and 29 home runs. Miami has walked 103 times so far this season and they have struck out 299 times as a unit. They have left 204 men on base and have a team OPS of .678. They score 4.12 runs per contest and have scored a total of 132 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Tampa Bay has a 26-12 overall mark this year. Snell (41-28 career mark) has earned a 3.23 earned run average and has surrendered 7.4 hits per nine innings. His SO/W ratio is 2.79 and he has gone up against 2,205 batters in his MLB career. During his MLB career, Snell has given up 437 base hits and he has 622 K's in 534 innings. He has allowed 192 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.235 and a FIP of 3.5. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.92 and they have given up 163 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .220 against the Rays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 177 batters and walked 62 opposing hitters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.73. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 309 base knocks and 139 earned runs this season. They have given up 48 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 113 hitters and struck out 355 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.04.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .245, good for 15th in the league. The Rays hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Willy Adames comes into this matchup batting .322 with an OBP of .398. He has 38 hits this year along with 15 RBI in 118 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .585 with an OPS+ of 170. Kevin Kiermaier is hitting .237 this season and he has an OBP of .343. He has collected 22 hits in 93 at bats while driving in 16 runs. He has an OPS+ of 109 and a slugging percentage of .409. The Rays as a unit have 310 base hits, including 76 doubles and 52 homers. Tampa Bay has walked 164 times this year and they have struck out on 353 occasions. They have had 263 men left on base and have an OPS of .778. They have scored 5.16 runs per game and totaled 196 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Rays MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins (+212)

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