Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 9/4/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Friday, September 4, 2020

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: FSFL/SUN

Odds/Point Spread: Marlins (+134) Rays (-145)

Tropicana Field is the venue where Kevin Kiermaier and the Tampa Bay Rays (26-12, 1st in AL East) will take on the Miami Marlins (16-16, 3rd in NL East) on Friday. The odds on this matchup have the Marlins coming in at +134 and the Rays are at -145. The O/U is set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Pablo Lopez and Josh Fleming.

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

9/2/2020 Elieser Hernandez SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/2/2020 Harold Ramirez RF Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
9/2/2020 Pat Venditte RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
9/2/2020 Nick Neidert RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/2/2020 Miguel Rojas SS Abdomen Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
9/2/2020 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 7
9/1/2020 Jose Urena SP Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 7
9/1/2020 Drew Steckenrider RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/1/2020 Jordan Holloway RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
8/28/2020 Jeff Brigham RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/28/2020 Logan Forsythe 2B Oblique Out for the season
8/28/2020 Sean Rodriguez 3B Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 4

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

9/2/2020 Brett Phillips CF Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
9/2/2020 Oliver Drake RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 7
8/31/2020 Yandy Diaz 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/31/2020 Jose Alvarado RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/29/2020 Jalen Beeks RP Elbow Out for the season
8/29/2020 Mike Zunino C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/29/2020 Chaz Roe RP Elbow Out for the season
8/29/2020 Ryan Yarbrough SP Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/28/2020 Nick Anderson RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
8/22/2020 Yonny Chirinos SP Elbow Out for the season
8/13/2020 Andrew Kittredge RP Elbow Out for the season
7/21/2020 Colin Poche RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 16-16 overall record this season. Lopez (10-14 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.02 while he has gone up against 858 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 4.32 (98 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.235. He has surrendered 200 hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) with 52 walks. Lopez has pitched in 204 innings and has accounted for 173 strikeouts thus far in his career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.63 and they have given up 121 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the bullpen and they've struck out 93 hitters and walked 65 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 261 base hits and 126 earned runs. They have allowed 46 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 116 batters and struck out 233. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 5.07.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .235, good for 20th in the league. The Marlins hold a .367 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 7.5 hits per game. Jesus Aguilar is hitting .271 with an on-base percentage of .311. He has 26 hits this season in 96 at bats with 20 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .448 and an OPS+ of 105. Starling Marte is hitting .315 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .384. He has totaled 41 hits and he has driven in 15 men in 130 at bats. His OPS+ is 126 while his slugging percentage is at .462. The Marlins have 241 hits, including 43 doubles and 29 home runs. Miami has walked 103 times so far this season and they have struck out 299 times as a unit. They have left 204 men on base and have a team OPS of .678. They score 4.12 runs per contest and have scored a total of 132 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Tampa Bay has a 26-12 overall mark this year. Fleming has conceded 7 hits and he has 9 punchouts in 10 frames. He has given up a total of 2 ER's while holding a WHIP of 0.891 and a FIP of 3.3. He has a SO/W ratio of 4.50 and he has faced 39 hitters. Fleming (2-0 win-loss mark) has a 1.78 ERA while allowing 6.2 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.92 and they have given up 163 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .220 against the Rays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 177 batters and walked 62 opposing hitters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.73. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 309 base knocks and 139 earned runs this season. They have given up 48 home runs this year, which ranks 14th in Major League Baseball. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 113 hitters and struck out 355 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.04.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .245, good for 16th in the league. The Rays hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Kevin Kiermaier comes into this matchup batting .237 with an OBP of .343. He has 22 hits this year along with 16 RBI in 93 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .409 with an OPS+ of 109. Willy Adames is hitting .322 this season and he has an OBP of .398. He has collected 38 hits in 118 at bats while driving in 15 runs. He has an OPS+ of 170 and a slugging percentage of .585. The Rays as a unit have 310 base hits, including 76 doubles and 52 homers. Tampa Bay has walked 164 times this year and they have struck out on 353 occasions. They have had 263 men left on base and have an OPS of .778. They have scored 5.16 runs per game and totaled 196 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Rays MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins (+134)

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