Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 7/26/2020

Game: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, July 26, 2020

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: FSFL/NSPA

Odds/Point Spread: Marlins (+175) Phillies (-200)

The Miami Marlins visit Citizens Bank Park on Sunday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Jose Urena for the Marlins and Vince Velasquez for the Phillies.

The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +175 and Philadelphia at -200. The Marlins had a 79-73-10 over/under record and a 57-105-0 run line mark last year. The Phillies were 81-81-0 against the run line and had a 73-82-7 over/under record.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins were 79-73-10 against the over/under last year

The Miami Marlins were 57-105-0 against the run line last season

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies were 73-82-7 against the over/under last year

The Philadelphia Phillies were 81-81-0 against the run line last season

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

7/23/2020 Drew Steckenrider RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/23/2020 Will Banfield C Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/16/2020 Matt Joyce LF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/16/2020 Lewis Brinson CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 27

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

7/22/2020 Zach Eflin SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/20/2020 Jean Segura SS Hand Probable for Jul 24
7/20/2020 Mikie Mahtook CF Illness Probable for Jul 24
7/18/2020 Victor Arano RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/16/2020 Austin Davis RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/16/2020 Rafael Marchan C Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/8/2020 Ranger Suarez RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/8/2020 Los Santos Enyel De Los Santos RP Hamstring Probable for Jul 24
6/28/2020 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season
4/30/2020 David Robertson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins had a 57-105 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Jose Urena had a 4-10 record with an earned run average of 5.21 and a WHIP of 1.48. He had 62 strikeouts over his 84.2 innings pitched and he gave up 99 hits. He allowed 10.5 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 4.74. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.97 and they gave up 537 base hits on the year. Teams hit .248 against the bullpen and they struck out 570 hitters while walking 270 batters. As a team, Miami allowed 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They were 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.74. The Marlins pitchers collectively gave up 1,340 base hits and 760 earned runs last year. They allowed 236 home runs last season, ranking them 11th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff walked 615 batters and struck out 1,378. They walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit was 4.89.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami hit .241, good for 25th in the league. The Marlins held a .375 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .298, which was good for 29th in baseball. They ranked 27th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Miguel Rojas hit .284 with an on-base percentage of .331 last year. He had 137 hits last season in 483 at bats with 46 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .379 and an OPS+ of 90. Jonathan Villar hit .274 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .339. He totaled 176 hits and he drove in 73 men in 642 at bats. His OPS+ was 109 while his slugging percentage was at .453. The Marlins had 1,326 hits last season, including 265 doubles and 146 home runs. Miami walked 395 times last year and they struck out 1,469 times as a unit. They left 1,034 men on base and had a team OPS of .673. They scored 3.8 runs per contest and scored a total of 615 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia had a 81-81 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 4.91, Vince Velasquez had a 7-8 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He had 130 strikeouts over the 117.1 innings he pitched. He also gave up 120 hits. He allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 5.21. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.38 and they gave up 574 base hits on the year. Teams hit .254 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers struck out 584 batters and walked 236 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allowed 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They were 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.53. The Phillies pitchers as a team surrendered 1,452 base knocks and 731 earned runs last season. They gave up 258 home runs last year, which ranked 5th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff walked 546 hitters and struck out 1,392 batters. They gave up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they struck out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.37 while their FIP as a staff was 4.88.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .246, good for 21st in the league. The Phillies held a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which was good for 20th in baseball. They ranked 18th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. J.T. Realmuto comes into this matchup after batting .275 with an OBP of .328 last season. He had 148 hits last year along with 83 RBI in 538 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .493 with an OPS+ of 108. Andrew McCutchen hit .256 last season and he had an OBP of .378. He collected 56 hits in 219 at bats while driving in 29 runs. He had an OPS+ of 115 and a slugging percentage of .457. The Phillies as a unit had 1,369 base hits last season, including 311 doubles and 215 homers. Philadelphia walked 562 times last year and they struck out on 1,453 occasions. They left 1,129 men on base and had an OPS of .746. They scored 4.78 runs per game and totaled 774 runs last year.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Marlins (+175) and over 9 total runs

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