Miami Marlins vs Baltimore Orioles Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 8/4/2020

Game: Miami Marlins vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Tuesday, August 4, 2020

Location: Oriole Park in Baltimore, MD

TV: Fox Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Marlins (+130) Orioles (-150)

Pedro Severino and the Baltimore Orioles (5-3, 2nd in AL East) host the Miami Marlins (2-1, 2nd in NL East) at Oriole Park on Tuesday. The Orioles open this game at -150 while the Marlins are priced at +130. The over/under has been set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Caleb Smith and John Means.

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

8/2/2020 Harold Ramirez RF Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
8/2/2020 Jorge Alfaro C Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
8/2/2020 Jordan Holloway RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 14
8/2/2020 Alex Vesia RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 14
8/1/2020 Isan Diaz 2B Opt Out Out for the season
8/1/2020 Lewis Brinson CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
7/31/2020 Matt Joyce LF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
7/29/2020 Sandy Alcantara SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
7/28/2020 Miguel Rojas SS Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
7/27/2020 Jose Urena SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
7/27/2020 Garrett Cooper 1B Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 11
7/23/2020 Drew Steckenrider RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

8/3/2020 Rio Ruiz 3B Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
8/3/2020 Dillon Tate RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
8/3/2020 Jose Iglesias SS Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
8/3/2020 Chris Davis 1B Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
8/1/2020 Hunter Harvey RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 8
7/31/2020 Kohl Stewart SP Opt Out Out for the season
7/14/2020 Richie Martin SS Wrist Out for the season
6/28/2020 Trey Mancini RF Abdomen Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 2-1 overall record this season. Smith (15-18 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.88 and he has faced 1,073 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.64 (130 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.277. He has surrendered 213 hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) with 109 free passes. Smith has pitched in 252 innings and is sitting with 277 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.85 and they have given up 14 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the bullpen and they've struck out 6 hitters and walked 10 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.2 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.5. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 24 base hits and 13 earned runs. They have allowed 6 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 19 batters and struck out 18. They have walked 6.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 6.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.65 and their FIP as a unit is 6.86.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .267, good for 3rd in the league. The Marlins hold a .495 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Brian Anderson is hitting .300 with an on-base percentage of .462. He has 3 hits this season in 10 at bats with 3 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .600 and an OPS+ of 198. Miguel Rojas is hitting .700 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .750. He has totaled 7 hits and he has driven in 5 men in 10 at bats. His OPS+ is 467 while his slugging percentage is at 1.300. The Marlins have 27 hits, including 4 doubles and 5 home runs. Miami has walked 10 times so far this season and they have struck out 24 times as a unit. They have left 16 men on base and have a team OPS of .837. They score 5.67 runs per contest and have scored a total of 17 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Baltimore has a 5-3 overall mark this year. Means has allowed 8 hits and he has 6 strikeouts in 5 frames. He has given up a total of 10 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.923 and a FIP of 8.2. His SO/W ratio is 3.00 and he has faced 28 opposing batters so far. Means (0-0) is the owner of a 17.31 ERA and has conceded 13.8 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.58 and they have given up 38 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 42 batters and walked 14 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 5.05. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 70 base knocks and 41 earned runs this season. They have given up 11 home runs this year, which ranks 13th in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 24 hitters and struck out 79 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.12.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .252, good for 9th in the league. The Orioles hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Pedro Severino comes into this matchup batting .250 with an OBP of .333. He has 6 hits this year along with 4 RBI in 24 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .542 with an OPS+ of 145. Hanser Alberto is hitting .429 this season and he has an OBP of .459. He has collected 15 hits in 35 at bats while driving in 5 runs. He has an OPS+ of 223 and a slugging percentage of .686. The Orioles as a unit have 69 base hits, including 16 doubles and 13 homers. Baltimore has walked 29 times this year and they have struck out on 63 occasions. They have had 56 men left on base and have an OPS of .783. They have scored 5.12 runs per game and totaled 41 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Marlins and under the total runs

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