Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/24/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Thursday, September 24, 2020

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FSFL/FSSE

Odds/Point Spread: Marlins (+160) Braves (-174)

Dansby Swanson and the Atlanta Braves (33-22, 1st in NL East) play the Miami Marlins (28-27, 2nd in NL East) at Truist Park on Thursday. The Marlins open this contest at +160 while the Braves are priced at -174. The total opens at 9.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Pablo Lopez and Ian Anderson.

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

9/23/2020 Magneuris Sierra CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/23/2020 Brian Moran RP Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/23/2020 Jordan Holloway RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/23/2020 Jeff Brigham RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/23/2020 Drew Steckenrider RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/22/2020 Stephen Tarpley RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/21/2020 Pat Venditte RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/15/2020 Isan Diaz 2B Groin Out for the season
9/13/2020 Brandon Leibrandt RP Elbow Out for the season
9/10/2020 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Out for the season
9/7/2020 Harold Ramirez RF Hamstring Out for the season
9/5/2020 Elieser Hernandez SP Lat Out for the season
8/28/2020 Logan Forsythe 2B Oblique Out for the season
8/18/2020 Mike Morin RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

9/23/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/21/2020 Huascar Ynoa SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/21/2020 Cole Hamels SP Shoulder Out for the season
9/20/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/10/2020 Tommy Milone SP Elbow Out for the season
8/27/2020 Mike Soroka SP Achilles Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 28-27 overall record this season. Lopez (12-16 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.07 and he has gone up against 936 batters in the majors. His ERA is 4.58 (113 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.243. He has surrendered 215 base knocks (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 61 free passes. Lopez has thrown 222 innings and has earned 194 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.34 and they have given up 216 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the bullpen and they've struck out 170 hitters and walked 101 batters. As a team, Miami allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.85. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 467 base hits and 248 earned runs. They have allowed 78 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 198 batters and struck out 411. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 5.04.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .247, good for 15th in the league. The Marlins hold a .389 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Jesus Aguilar is hitting .283 with an on-base percentage of .355. He has 49 hits this season in 173 at bats with 31 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .445 and an OPS+ of 118. Miguel Rojas is hitting .330 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .425. He has totaled 36 hits and he has driven in 19 men in 109 at bats. His OPS+ is 163 while his slugging percentage is at .541. The Marlins have 434 hits, including 78 doubles and 54 home runs. Miami has walked 179 times so far this season and they have struck out 491 times as a unit. They have left 360 men on base and have a team OPS of .712. They score 4.4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 242 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 33-22 overall mark this year. Anderson has allowed 14 base hits while earning 35 K's in 26 innings. He has given up a total of 7 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.069 and a FIP of 2.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.50 and he has gone up against 111 batters in his career. Anderson (3-1 win-loss record) is the owner of a 2.40 earned run average and has surrendered 4.8 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.36 and they have given up 216 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 246 batters and walked 96 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.45. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 448 base knocks and 236 earned runs this season. They have given up 59 home runs this year, which ranks 29th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 200 hitters and struck out 456 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.33.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .272, good for 2nd in the league. The Braves hold a .494 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .349, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.4 hits per contest. Dansby Swanson comes into this matchup batting .271 with an OBP of .339. He has 59 hits this year along with 28 RBI in 218 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .445 with an OPS+ of 104. Freddie Freeman is hitting .347 this season and he has an OBP of .463. He has collected 69 hits in 199 at bats while driving in 50 runs. He has an OPS+ of 187 and a slugging percentage of .643. The Braves as a unit have 516 base hits, including 123 doubles and 98 homers. Atlanta has walked 212 times this year and they have struck out on 522 occasions. They have had 388 men left on base and have an OPS of .843. They have scored 5.93 runs per game and totaled 326 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins (+160)

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