Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/22/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves
Date: Tuesday, September 22, 2020
Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA
TV: FSFL/FSSE
Odds/Point Spread: Marlins (+169) Braves (-184)
Marcell Ozuna and the Atlanta Braves (31-22, 1st in NL East) play the Miami Marlins (28-25, 2nd in NL East) at Truist Park on Tuesday. The Braves open this matchup at -184 while the Marlins are priced at +169. The total has been set at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Jose Urena and Cole Hamels.
Key Miami Marlins Injuries
9/21/2020 Pat Venditte RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/20/2020 Magneuris Sierra CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/16/2020 Brian Moran RP Kneecap Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/16/2020 Stephen Tarpley RP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/15/2020 Jeff Brigham RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/15/2020 Jordan Holloway RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/15/2020 Isan Diaz 2B Groin Out for the season
9/13/2020 Brandon Leibrandt RP Elbow Out for the season
9/10/2020 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Out for the season
9/7/2020 Harold Ramirez RF Hamstring Out for the season
9/5/2020 Elieser Hernandez SP Lat Out for the season
9/1/2020 Drew Steckenrider RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
8/28/2020 Logan Forsythe 2B Oblique Out for the season
8/18/2020 Mike Morin RP Elbow Out for the season
Key Atlanta Braves Injuries
9/20/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/15/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/10/2020 Tommy Milone SP Elbow Out for the season
8/27/2020 Mike Soroka SP Achilles Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Marlins have a 28-25 overall record this season. Urena has pitched in 588 frames and has accumulated 401 strikeouts during his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.61 (301 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.340. He has surrendered 584 base knocks (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has 204 walks. Urena (32-45 record in his career) holds a FIP of 4.76 while he has gone up against 2,520 opposing batters during his time in the majors. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.27 and they have given up 207 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the bullpen and they've struck out 162 hitters and walked 100 batters. As a team, Miami allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.74. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 444 base hits and 234 earned runs. They have allowed 73 home runs this season, ranking them 11th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 193 batters and struck out 394. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 5.01.
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Hitting Statistics
As a team Miami is hitting .245, good for 15th in the league. The Marlins hold a .391 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Brian Anderson is hitting .269 with an on-base percentage of .358. He has 47 hits this season in 175 at bats with 35 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .474 and an OPS+ of 125. Starling Marte is hitting .293 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .351. He has totaled 60 hits and he has driven in 26 men in 205 at bats. His OPS+ is 114 while his slugging percentage is at .444. The Marlins have 415 hits, including 77 doubles and 53 home runs. Miami has walked 171 times so far this season and they have struck out 473 times as a unit. They have left 342 men on base and have a team OPS of .712. They score 4.47 runs per contest and have scored a total of 237 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Atlanta has a 31-22 overall mark this year. Hamels (163-122 career record) holds a 3.43 earned run average and has surrendered 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has a SO/W ratio of 3.34 and he has faced 11,115 hitters in his MLB career. So far in his career, Hamels has surrendered 2,424 base knocks while he has tallied 2,560 K's in 2,697 frames. He has allowed 1,027 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.183 and a FIP of 3.8. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.43 and they have given up 205 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .206 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 236 batters and walked 90 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.53. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 429 base knocks and 231 earned runs this season. They have given up 58 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 192 hitters and struck out 438 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.37.
Hitting Statistics
As a team, they are batting .269, good for 2nd in the league. The Braves hold a .489 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .348, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Marcell Ozuna comes into this matchup batting .317 with an OBP of .406. He has 64 hits this year along with 48 RBI in 202 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .599 with an OPS+ of 159. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .259 this season and he has an OBP of .422. He has collected 35 hits in 135 at bats while driving in 27 runs. He has an OPS+ of 168 and a slugging percentage of .615. The Braves as a unit have 493 base hits, including 117 doubles and 93 homers. Atlanta has walked 207 times this year and they have struck out on 505 occasions. They have had 377 men left on base and have an OPS of .837. They have scored 5.85 runs per game and totaled 310 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Marlins/Braves MLB game against the spread?
Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Marlins and under 9 runs
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Additional Resources:
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