Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 7/28/2020

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros

Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2020

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: SNLA/ATSW/FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Dodgers (-150) Astros (+140)

Minute Maid Park is the site of the matchup between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Houston Astros on Tuesday. The probable starting pitchers are Walker Buehler for the Dodgers and Framber Valdez for the Astros.

Los Angeles opens at -150 while Houston opens at +140. The Dodgers had a 79-80-8 over/under record and a 108-59-0 run line mark last year. The Astros were 117-61-0 against the run line and had a 79-91-8 over/under record.

Valuable Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends

The Los Angeles Dodgers were 79-80-8 against the over/under last season

The Los Angeles Dodgers were 108-59-0 against the run line last year

Important Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros were 79-91-8 against the over/under last season

The Houston Astros were 117-61-0 against the run line last year

Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries

7/26/2020 Anthony Garcia LF Groin Probable for Jul 26
7/26/2020 Scott Alexander RP Not Injury Related Probable for Jul 26
7/26/2020 Edwin Uceta RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/25/2020 Zach Reks LF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/23/2020 Clayton Kershaw SP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
7/21/2020 Jimmy Nelson SP Back Out for the season
7/16/2020 Keibert Ruiz C Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 28

Key Houston Astros Injuries

7/26/2020 Shawn Dubin SP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/26/2020 Ralph Garza RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/25/2020 Aledmys Diaz 1B Groin Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
7/24/2020 Cionel Perez RP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/24/2020 Yordan Alvarez DH Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/23/2020 Austin Pruitt RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/23/2020 Rogelio Armenteros RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/23/2020 Jose Urquidy SP Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 11
7/23/2020 Brad Peacock SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/1/2020 Kent Emanuel SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Dodgers had a 106-56 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Walker Buehler had a 14-4 record with an earned run average of 3.26 and a WHIP of 1.04. He had 215 strikeouts over his 182.1 innings pitched and he gave up 153 hits. He allowed 7.6 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 3.01. The bullpen had an earned run average of 3.85 and they gave up 453 base hits on the year. Teams hit .218 against the bullpen and they struck out 581 hitters while walking 186 batters. As a team, Los Angeles allowed 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They were 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.37. The Dodgers pitchers collectively gave up 1,201 base hits and 541 earned runs last year. They allowed 185 home runs last season, ranking them 29th in the league. Los Angeles as a pitching staff walked 392 batters and struck out 1,519. They walked 2.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.10 and their FIP as a unit was 3.73.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Los Angeles hit .257, good for 11th in the league. The Dodgers held a .472 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which was good for 6th in baseball. They ranked 13th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Justin Turner hit .290 with an on-base percentage of .372 last year. He had 139 hits last season in 479 at bats with 67 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .509 and an OPS+ of 131. Max Muncy hit .251 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .374. He totaled 122 hits and he drove in 98 men in 487 at bats. His OPS+ was 133 while his slugging percentage was at .515. The Dodgers had 1,414 hits last season, including 302 doubles and 279 home runs. Los Angeles walked 607 times last year and they struck out 1,356 times as a unit. They left 1,124 men on base and had a team OPS of .810. They scored 5.47 runs per contest and scored a total of 886 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Houston had a 107-55 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 5.86, Framber Valdez had a 4-7 record and a 1.67 WHIP. He had 68 strikeouts over the 70.2 innings he pitched. He also gave up 74 hits. He allowed 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.98. The bullpen had an earned run average of 3.75 and they gave up 470 base hits on the year. Teams hit .224 against the Astros bullpen. Their relievers struck out 608 batters and walked 197 opposing hitters. As a team, Houston allowed 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.3 batters per nine innings. They were 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.66. The Astros pitchers as a team surrendered 1,205 base knocks and 595 earned runs last season. They gave up 230 home runs last year, which ranked 12th in Major League Baseball. Houston as a staff walked 448 hitters and struck out 1,671 batters. They gave up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they struck out 10.3 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.13 while their FIP as a staff was 3.98.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .274, good for 1st in the league. The Astros held a .495 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .352, which was good for 1st in baseball. They ranked 3rd in MLB with 9.5 hits per contest. Carlos Correa comes into this matchup after batting .279 with an OBP of .358 last season. He had 78 hits last year along with 59 RBI in 280 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .568 with an OPS+ of 137. Jose Altuve hit .298 last season and he had an OBP of .353. He collected 149 hits in 500 at bats while driving in 74 runs. He had an OPS+ of 131 and a slugging percentage of .550. The Astros as a unit had 1,538 base hits last season, including 323 doubles and 288 homers. Houston walked 645 times last year and they struck out on 1,166 occasions. They left 1,168 men on base and had an OPS of .848. They scored 5.68 runs per game and totaled 920 runs last year.

Who will win tonight's Dodgers/Astros MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Dodgers (-150)

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