Kansas City Royals vs Cincinnati Reds Predictions, MLB Picks, Betting Tips 8/11/2020

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Tuesday, August 11, 2020

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FSOH/FSKC

Odds/Point Spread: Royals (+181) Reds (-197)

Great American Ball Park is the venue where Nicholas Castellanos and the Cincinnati Reds (7-9, 3rd in NL Central) will take on the Kansas City Royals (7-10, 5th in AL Central) on Tuesday. The Reds open this game at -197 while the Royals are coming in at +181. The over/under opens at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Kris Bubic and Tyler Mahle.

Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

8/10/2020 Franchy Cordero RF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
8/9/2020 Josh Staumont RP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 11
8/9/2020 Ryan O'Hearn 1B Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Aug 11
8/8/2020 Mike Montgomery SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/8/2020 Nick Heath DH Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
8/8/2020 Randy Rosario RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Aug 11
8/7/2020 Glenn Sparkman RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
8/5/2020 Bubba Starling CF Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/31/2020 Foster Griffin RP Forearm Out for the season
7/16/2020 Kelvin Gutierrez 3B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

8/9/2020 Nick Senzel CF Groin Expected to be out until at least Aug 11
8/9/2020 Mike Moustakas 2B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
8/9/2020 Pedro Strop RP Groin Expected to be out until at least Aug 18
8/9/2020 Wade Miley SP Groin Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
8/8/2020 Robert Stephenson RP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 11
7/31/2020 Matt Bowman RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 4

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Royals have a 7-10 overall record this season. Bubic (0-2) has earned a FIP of 4.20 while he has gone up against 40 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.60 (4 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.000. He has allowed 7 base hits (6.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 3 free passes. Bubic has taken the mound for 10 innings and has earned 9 strikeouts. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.16 and they have given up 72 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .216 against the bullpen and they've struck out 80 hitters and walked 29 batters. As a team, Kansas City allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 3.95. The Royals pitchers collectively have given up 139 base hits and 65 earned runs. They have allowed 23 home runs this season, ranking them 4th in the league. Kansas City as a pitching staff has walked 56 batters and struck out 146. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.40.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Kansas City is hitting .258, good for 3rd in the league. The Royals hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Salvador Perez is hitting .319 with an on-base percentage of .333. He has 22 hits this season in 69 at bats with 9 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .522 and an OPS+ of 138. Whit Merrifield is hitting .284 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .351. He has totaled 19 hits and he has driven in 11 men in 67 at bats. His OPS+ is 141 while his slugging percentage is at .507. The Royals have 150 hits, including 37 doubles and 21 home runs. Kansas City has walked 36 times so far this season and they have struck out 141 times as a unit. They have left 107 men on base and have a team OPS of .743. They score 4.35 runs per contest and have scored a total of 74 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 7-9 overall mark this year. During his MLB career, Mahle has conceded 287 hits while he has earned 263 strikeouts in 271 frames. He has allowed 144 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.431 and having a FIP of 4.8. He has a SO/W ratio of 2.60 and he has faced 1,195 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. Mahle (11-23 career mark) has earned a 4.78 earned run average while allowing 9.5 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 7.77 and they have given up 47 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .204 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 67 batters and walked 28 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 6.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 12.2 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 104 base knocks and 64 earned runs this season. They have given up 19 home runs this year, which ranks 13th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 56 hitters and struck out 185 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 12.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.18 while their FIP as a staff is 3.59.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .203, good for 29th in the league. The Reds hold a .382 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 6.3 hits per contest. Nicholas Castellanos comes into this matchup batting .293 with an OBP of .379. He has 17 hits this year along with 16 RBI in 58 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .724 with an OPS+ of 196. Joey Votto is hitting .196 this season and he has an OBP of .339. He has collected 9 hits in 46 at bats while driving in 7 runs. He has an OPS+ of 102 and a slugging percentage of .391. The Reds as a unit have 101 base hits, including 21 doubles and 22 homers. Cincinnati has walked 68 times this year and they have struck out on 132 occasions. They have had 103 men left on base and have an OPS of .695. They have scored 4.19 runs per game and totaled 67 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Royals/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Royals (+181)

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