Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 9/23/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Wednesday, September 23, 2020

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: ATSW/RTNW

Odds/Point Spread: Astros (-176) Mariners (+162)

Kyle Lewis and the Seattle Mariners (24-30, 3rd in AL West) host the Houston Astros (27-27, 2nd in AL West) at T-Mobile Park on Wednesday. The line on this contest has the Astros priced at -176 and the Mariners are at +162. The O/U is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Zack Greinke and Nick Margevicius.

Key Houston Astros Injuries

9/22/2020 Brad Peacock RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/19/2020 Justin Verlander SP Elbow Out for the season
9/19/2020 Roberto Osuna RP Elbow Out for the season
9/16/2020 Chris Devenski RP Elbow Out for the season
9/5/2020 Rogelio Armenteros RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/4/2020 Austin Pruitt RP Elbow Out for the season
8/23/2020 Yordan Alvarez DH Knee Out for the season

Key Seattle Mariners Injuries

9/20/2020 Sam Haggerty LF Forearm Out for the season
9/19/2020 Tom Murphy C Foot Out for the season
9/18/2020 Shed Long 2B Lower Leg Out for the season
9/1/2020 Gerson Bautista RP Elbow Out for the season
9/1/2020 Mitch Haniger RF Back Out for the season
8/31/2020 Nestor Cortes RP Elbow Out for the season
8/31/2020 Matt Magill RP Shoulder Out for the season
8/27/2020 Carl Edwards RP Forearm Out for the season
8/27/2020 Taylor Guilbeau RP Shoulder Out for the season
6/29/2020 Andres Munoz RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 27-27 overall record this season. Greinke has pitched in 2,934 frames and is sitting with 2,684 punchouts thus far in his career. His earned run average is 3.36 (1,097 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.157. He has allowed 2,720 base hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) with 675 free passes. Greinke (208-125 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.45 and he has faced 11,979 opposing batters in the majors. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 185 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the bullpen and they've struck out 202 hitters and walked 110 batters. As a team, Houston allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.3. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 420 base hits and 226 earned runs. They have allowed 62 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 203 batters and struck out 464. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.37.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .238, good for 19th in the league. The Astros hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 7.9 hits per game. Michael Brantley is hitting .311 with an on-base percentage of .373. He has 47 hits this season in 151 at bats with 21 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .490 and an OPS+ of 133. Alex Bregman is hitting .238 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .349. He has totaled 31 hits and he has driven in 17 men in 130 at bats. His OPS+ is 107 while his slugging percentage is at .415. The Astros have 424 hits, including 97 doubles and 59 home runs. Houston has walked 168 times so far this season and they have struck out 398 times as a unit. They have left 334 men on base and have a team OPS of .713. They score 4.63 runs per contest and have scored a total of 250 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Seattle has a 24-30 overall mark this year. So far in his pro baseball career, Margevicius has surrendered 108 hits while he has accumulated 74 strikeouts in 92 frames. He has given up 64 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.498 and a FIP of 5.2. He has a SO/W ratio of 2.47 and he has gone up against 410 batters so far in his pro baseball career. Margevicius (3-9 win-loss mark in his career) has a 6.25 earned run average and has conceded 10.6 hits per nine innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.91 and they have given up 189 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .216 against the Mariners bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 178 batters and walked 104 opposing hitters. As a team, Seattle allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.2. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 432 base knocks and 269 earned runs this season. They have given up 73 home runs this year, which ranks 11th in Major League Baseball. Seattle as a staff has walked 203 hitters and struck out 433 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.90.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .226, good for 26th in the league. The Mariners hold a .375 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 7.3 hits per contest. Kyle Lewis comes into this matchup batting .278 with an OBP of .383. He has 52 hits this year along with 28 RBI in 187 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .471 with an OPS+ of 140. Tim Lopes is hitting .260 this season and he has an OBP of .300. He has collected 32 hits in 123 at bats while driving in 13 runs. He has an OPS+ of 91 and a slugging percentage of .382. The Mariners as a unit have 392 base hits, including 81 doubles and 56 homers. Seattle has walked 194 times this year and they have struck out on 484 occasions. They have had 340 men left on base and have an OPS of .686. They have scored 4.26 runs per game and totaled 230 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Mariners MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Astros (-176)

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